Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 10, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
245 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2002

EARLY MORNING MCS THAT MOVED THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA KENTUCKY
HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED ONLY TO THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY 6
AM...ALTHOUGH AREAS OF  LIGHT RAIN WILL LINGER FARTHER NORTH THROUGH
MID-MORNING. THIS MCS HAS ADVANCED WELL AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...WHICH WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTH
KENTUCKY. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON...HIGH
DEWPOINTS WILL LEAD TO UNSTABLE AIR AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
OVER KENTUCKY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER OUR SOUTHERN CWA. WILL CONTINUE
LIKELY POPS FOR SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA AND CHANCE WORDING FOR THE
NORTH.

TONIGHT...COOLER DRIER AIR MOVES IN AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES PUSHES THE COLD FRONT INTO TENNESSEE. WINDS WILL
SWITCH TO THE NORTHEAST...WHICH WILL DRY OUT SOMEWHAT THE LOWER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW
OVER THE DAKOTAS SAGS SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. OVER THE WEEKEND...THIS TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
AND BRING HUMID WEATHER WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE
THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY. SOME OF THAT MOISTURE WILL
MOVE AS FAR NORTH AS KENTUCKY...MAINTAINING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SDF...NONE.
JSD

KYZ023-024-026>028-045>048-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-101529-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
909 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF A COOL FRONT
CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER. THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY. A FEW OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. IN ADDITION, THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING, GIVEN THE MOISTURE RICH ATMOSPHERE.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA, FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. SKYWARN SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ023-024-026>028-045>048-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-102130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1130 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
COOL FRONT CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE TENNESSEE BORDER TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. IN ADDITION, THERE WILL BE A THREAT
FOR FLASH FLOODING, GIVEN THE MOISTURE RICH ATMOSPHERE.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA, FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. SKYWARN SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.