Damaging Winds in Indiana, June 4, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
200 PM EST TUE JUN 4 2002

LOW PRES OVR ERM IA WITH WM FRONT STRETCHING ACRS S WI TO SRN MI.
CENTRAL INDIANA CONTINUES TO BE UNDER VRY WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS AS
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LW 70S ACRS MUCH OF THE AREA. LASTEST VIS PIX
SHOW GOOD CU DEVELOPMENT WITH SCT -RWS ACRS IWX/S CWA.

MAIN FCST CHALLNEGE TDY WL BE POPS TONIGHT.

NGM A BIT TOO FAST WITH PROGRESSING CD FRONT EASTERD AS IT HAS THE
FRONT SURGEING THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA BY THE 12Z WED. CONSIDERING
THE FRONT CURRENT POSITION...OVR SRN IA TO EASTERN KS FEEL THE ETA
HAS A BIT BETTER HANDLE ON THE SLOWER FRONTAL SPEED AND WL HOLD OFF ON
FROPA AT IND UNTIL AFTER 12Z. ALSO SWRLY UPPER FLOW LEADED ME TO
BELIEVE THAT THE SLOWER FROPA LOOKS BETTER. INFLUENCE FROM UPPER TFOF
WL ENHANCE TSRA DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT...BUT EXPECT MUCH OF THE
DEVELOPMENT NE THE FRONT AS BEST CONVERGENE WL BE LOCATED THERE. TIME
SECTIONS ALSO DISPLAY BEST RH/S AFTER 12Z WITH GOOD VV THEN. DO FEEL
THAT CURRENT LIKELY POPS ARE WARRENTED ACRS THE NW CWA AND WL
CONTINUE THERE BUT WL CUT BACK LIKELY POPS ACRS THE IND AREA.

WED LOOKS TO BE A CLDY RAIN DAY AS UPPER TROF LINGERS IN THE
VICINITY...CAA IS ON AND CD FRONT SLOWLY MAKES IT/S WAY ACRS THE
STATE. WL GO OCNL RWS/TSRA ENDING DURG THE EVE ESP SE. MAY TAPER OFF
EARLIER ACRS THE NW AS FRONT SHUD BE WELL SE OF THE AREA BY THEN.

EXPECT CLRING ON WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRES AND DRIER AIR BUILDS BEHIND
THE FRONT. TIME SECTIONS HERE HINT AT MUCH LOWER RH AND SUBSIDENCE.
THURS SHUD BE COOLER AND MORE PLEASANT DAY WITH COOLER TEMPS IN NRLY
SFC FLOW.

MAV TEMPS LOOK OK EXPECT WL LEAN SLIGHTLY COOLER ACRS THE CENTRAL
AREA AS INCREASING CLDS AND EXPECTED RAIN SHUD PREVENT MUCH HEATING.

.IND...NONE.
PUMA