Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Georgia, June 27, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
345 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2002

OVERVIEW: SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHEAST
STATES WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST SURFACE FLOW OVER GEORGIA. ATMOSPHERE
MODERATELY MOIST WITH LIFTED INDICES NEAR ZERO. LITTLE CONVECTION
ACROSS CWA ATTM BUT EXPECT SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS TO DEVELOP
INTO EVENING HOURS. UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL PORTION OF NATION
FORECAST BY MODELS TO MOVE EAST DURING PERIOD BUT LOWER PORTION LAYS
BACK ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND REMAINS THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD. A LITTLE
VARIATION AMONG MODELS WITH THE LOCATION OF TROUGH SO WILL BE HARD TO
PIN DOWN WHAT DAYS WILL HAVE THE BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIP IN EXTENDED
PERIOD.

SHORT TERM: AXIS OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH PUSHES FURTHER
INTO STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT WITH FAIRLY GOOD MOISTURE VALUES
ACROSS CWA THROUGH WEEKEND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING DAYTIME
IN THE 40-60% RANGE. NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN AIRMASS AND INSTABILITY
IS NOT IMPRESSIVE SO MOSTLY SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORM TYPE
PATTERN. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GET WELL INTO THE 80S TO NEAR 90 FOR
HIGHS AND MOSTLY UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S AT NIGHT.

EXTENDED: ALTHOUGH MOISTURE AND WEAK TROUGHINESS REMAINS OVER AREA
IN EXTENDED IT LOOKS LIKE A RETURN TO MORE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/TSTMS. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE
VARIATIONS WITH 80S TO LOW 90S FOR HIGHS.

FCSTID = 38

ATL  69 85 70 85 /  30 60 30 50
AHN  69 86 69 85 /  30 60 30 50
GVL  68 85 69 85 /  40 60 40 50
RMG  68 85 69 85 /  50 60 40 50
CSG  71 89 71 88 /  20 40 20 40
MCN  70 88 71 89 /  20 40 20 40

.ATL...
GA...NONE.

OUR DETAILED COUNTY FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT FOUS52 KFFC.
OUR AREA FORECAST FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA CITIES IS AVAILABLE
AT FLUS42 KFFC.