Hail in Delaware, May 27, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
258 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2002

WKEND CD FNT LIMPED INTO AREA AND WEAKENED AS ADVERTISED. CNVCTN FRM
YDA AFTN THAT MOVD INTO NE PTNS OF MD. CNVCTN OF MD LAST NGT MOVD NE
INTO PTNS OF SCNTRL PA AND SE PA. IN ADD...SEA BREEZE/OLD BNDRYS
ACTING AS FOCUS FOR NEW TRW ACRS PTNS OF SNJ. BASICALLY ALL ACTIVITY
SHUD DIE OFF WITH SUNDOWN.

AREA CONTS TO BE IN WASH AREA OF OLD FNT AND PSEUDO PULSATING SFC
AND H5 HI PRES WELL OUT IN ATLC. THIS TO KEEP BASICALLY WHAT YOU SEE
IS WHAT YOU GET WX NEXT CPL OF DAYS. HOWEVER...OVER TIME...FEEL THAT
PRECIP CHCS WITH OLD FNTL ZN BECOME LESS LIKELY AND MOVS BACK TO
WEST.

AS FOR TNGT...AFT RW/TRW DIMINISH THIS EVE...MSTR AND SOME MARINE
AIR WL ACT TO BRING PTCHY FOG ACRS JUST ABT THE ENTIRE AREA. WITH
THE XCPTN OF MAYBE PTNS OF OCEAN...MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET
CTYS DO NOT FEEL THAT FG WL BE DENSE ENUF OVR WIDESPREAD ENUF AREA
TO WARRANT DENSE FG ADVSRY. THUS WL HAVE MNTN IN ZNS.

ON MARINE...NO FLAGS.

FCSTID = 14
MPO   55  75  56  73 /  30  30  30  20
ABE   57  77  58  75 /  30  30  30  20
RDG   57  77  58  75 /  30  30  30  20
PHL   59  79  61  75 /  30  20  20  10
12N   57  77  58  75 /  30  30  30  20
SMQ   59  79  59  75 /  30  30  30  10
TTN   59  79  59  75 /  30  30  30  10
MIV   58  77  61  73 /  30  20  10  10
ACY   58  69  60  65 /  20  10  10  10
ILG   59  79  61  75 /  30  20  20  10
DOV   61  78  61  74 /  30  20  10  10
GED   61  78  61  74 /  30  20  10  10
ESN   61  78  61  74 /  30  20  10  10

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

JWH

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>020-
PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-280300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
225 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2002

...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...

A COLD FRONT THAT SWEPT THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT HAS GONE
STATIONARY FROM NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND INTO THE CENTRAL DELMARVA.
ALSO...A SEA BREEZE HAS MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY SHORE AND
THE DELAWARE BEACHES. THESE BOUNDARIES COMBINED WITH A WARM AND
HUMID AIR MASS WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP
VERY RAPIDLY...BUT WILL BE SLOW MOVERS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY TROPICAL TYPE DOWNPOURS OF AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR.
REGIONS RECEIVING THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
COULD EXPERIENCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND FLOODING IN LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS CAN
ALSO PRODUCE SUDDEN INTENSE LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

WOODWORTH