Colorado, 2002

Flash Flood in Colorado, July 22, 2002

July 22, 2002 · NWS PUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Intense rainfall and hail due to slow moving thunderstorms fell on steep slopes composed of loose soil and rock. The worst rock and landslides in decades occurred on county road 306, which is in the Cottonwood Creek drainage north of Mt.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
2
Property damage
$100,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.

Intense rainfall and hail due to slow moving thunderstorms fell on steep slopes composed of loose soil and rock. The worst rock and landslides in decades occurred on county road 306, which is in the Cottonwood Creek drainage north of Mt. Princeton. The debris on county road 306 was one mile long and over 10 feet deep in spots. An elderly couple was swept to the side of county road 306, and mud and rock flowed into their van. They suffered hypothermia and abrasions and bruises. County road 306 was closed for clean up for two weeks. County road 162, in the Chalk Creek drainage south of Mt. Princeton also experienced several mud and rock flows.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 12:52 PM MST, 6 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 12:52 PM MST, 6 hours 8 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO COLORADO
140 PM MDT MON JUL 22 2002...CORRECTED DATE

MAIN PROBLEMS ARE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION.

CURRENTLY...CLOUDS GRADUALLY DISSIPATING OVER BACA AND LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES.  IN THE CLEAR AREAS...SOME CB AND TCU ARE DEVELOPING.  LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE MADE IT WESTWARD THROUGH NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.  THIS
MOISTURE IS MOVING NORTH AND HELPING TO FIRE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS.

FOR TONIGHT...CAPE AND SHEAR DOES NOT LOOK VERY IMPRESSIVE AND I
CANNOT FIND MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER LEVEL FORCING TO CONTINUE PAST
THE EVENING.  I WILL CHANGE GRIDS FOR PRECIP TO END BY 10 PM AND
SKIES GO PARTLY CLOUDY. WITH WEAK SHEAR AND MODEST CAPES...THERE IS
A VERY MINIMAL THREAT FOR SEVERE CONVECTION.  MAIN THREATS WILL BE
SLOW MOVING STORMS WITH SOME LOCAL DOWNPOURS.  I WILL WAIT UNTIL
NEAR ISSUANCE TIME TO DECIDE ON WHETHER OR NOT TO INCLUDE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN IN ZONES.

FOR TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE WELL NORTH OF THE AREA DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH.  SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON
THE PLAINS DURING THE DAY.  ONCE AGAIN...SOUNDINGS DO NOT SHOW
SPECTACULAR CAPES AND SHEAR.  DRYING IN MID LEVELS OF ETA SUGGESTS
THAT SUBSIDENCE ON EAST SIDE OF UPPER RIDGE WILL HELP CAP
CONVECTION.  BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW 500MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -6 TO
-8C OVER THE PLAINS.  THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
AROUND TO GET SOME CONVECTION GOING IN THE AFTERNOON.  CURRENT
FORECAST HAS 30 POPS ON THE PLAINS FOR TOMORROW.  IF THE WARMING
ALOFT OCCURS AS INDICATED IN THE MODELS...THIS MAY BE A BIT TOO
HIGH.  SINCE THIS A ONLY A MINOR CHANGE...I WILL LEAVE THE POPS
ALONE.  OVER THE MOUNTAINS...THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION.
TEMPERATURES LOOK OK...AND I WILL DECREASE TEMPS BY A FEW DEGREES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS.

FOR WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL TOP THE RIDGE.  AVN SHOWING A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DRYING IN THE MIDDLE LEVEL OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS AS THE RIDGE RETROGRADES.  THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
TRAPPED IN THE RIDGE FOR SOME DIURNAL CONVECTION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...BUT NOTHING SPECTACULAR.  OVER THE PLAINS...THERE WILL
BE MORE DRYING OF THE LOWER LEVELS WITH SOME MOISTURE POSSIBLY
LINGERING NEAR THE BORDER.  CURRENT FORECAST HAS 20 POPS
EVERYWHERE.  I WILL REMOVE THE POPS FROM THE ZONES ON THE PLAINS
AWAY FROM THE MOUNTAINS...BUT I WILL LEAVE SOME POPS IN THE KANSAS
BORDER ZONES AS MOISTURE IS DEEPER.

THURSDAY...SHORTWAVE CONTINUES MOVING TO THE EAST.  AVN SHOWING
DRYING ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF COLORADO ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
EASTERLY FLOW.  OVER NORTHERN COLORADO...AVN IS MORE GENEROUS WITH
THE MOISTURE WITH THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW.  THERE MAY BE A WEAK
SURGE ON THE PLAINS AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES SOUTHEAST.  I THINK
THE AVN MAY BE TOO DRY ALOFT ON THURSDAY...AND UPSLOPE FLOW MAY
PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION.  CURRENT
THURSDAY GRIDS LOOK GOOD AND I WILL ONLY MAKE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS.  POPS OVER THE ENTIRE REGION ARE 20 PERCENT...WHICH IS
A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND BETWEEN THE DRYING ALOFT IN THE AVN AND
POTENTIAL UPSLOPE MOISTURE.

IN THE EXTENDED (FRI-MON)...MRF ENSEMBLES TEND TO SHOW A SLOWER AND
DEEPER TROUGH ON SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY THAN THE OPERATIONAL MRF.
MRF ENSEMBLES ARE MORE IN LINE WITH ECMWF...WITH THE TROUGH ALONG
THE WEST COAST.  IF THIS PATTERN VERIFIES...THE CHANCES FOR UPSLOPE
SURGES SIGNIFICANTLY MOISTENING THE EASTERN PLAINS ARE SMALL.
HOWEVER...A SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ON THE PLAINS AS
ENSEMBLE LEE TROUGH IS LIKELY TOO STRONG.  WITH THE TROUGH THAT FAR
WEST...I SUSPECT A MONSOON PLUME OF SOME MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE.
EXTENDED FORECAST WILL REFLECT CONTINUED MODEST MONSOON PLUME WITH
RESIDUAL MOISTURE ON THE PLAINS...THAT IS SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WITH
NEAR CLIMATOLOGY TEMPS.  CURRENT EXTENDED LOOKS GOOD AND ONLY MINOR
CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED.

.PUB...NONE.

PGW

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 178 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Chaffee

When
July 22, 7:00 PM MST to 8:15 PM MST
Where
Chaffee County, 6 mi WSW of Buena Vista
Injuries
2 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
38.747, -106.194 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Colorado in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, July 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5309353.