Colorado, 2002Winter Storm in Colorado, February 17 to 19, 2002
February 17 to 19, 2002 · NWS GJT · 8 events in 8 counties and zones
A slow-moving and moist Pacific storm dropped 6 to 12 inches of snow over most of the mountains of western Colorado and up to 5 inches in some of the higher valleys. The storm first spread into the San Juan mountains where southwest winds of 15 to 30 mph created areas of blowing and drifting snow.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A slow-moving and moist Pacific storm dropped 6 to 12 inches of snow over most of the mountains of western Colorado and up to 5 inches in some of the higher valleys. The storm first spread into the San Juan mountains where southwest winds of 15 to 30 mph created areas of blowing and drifting snow. As the center of the system passed and winds shifted to the northwest, the brunt of the snowfall spread into the central and northern mountains of western Colorado.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 2:45 PM MST, 6 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 2:45 PM MST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
WESTERN COLORADO & EASTERN UTAH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
245 PM MST SUN FEB 17 2002
UPCOMING STORM HAS MOVED ONSHORE WITH MAIN CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL
CA AT NOON TODAY. AVN AND ETA IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TIMING AND
LARGER SCALE FEATURES...HOWEVER DIFFERENCES SHOW UP IN THE DETAILS AS
USUAL. LOOKS LIKE BEST ENERGY AND JET SUPPORT WILL REMAIN TO OUR
SOUTH AS MODELS MOVE THE TROUGH EAST. THE STRONGEST VORT CENTER WILL
TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST...THEN ACROSS NORTHERN AZ AND INTO NORTHERN NM
MON. GOOD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALREADY IN PLACE ONCE THE LOWER LEVELS
MOISTEN UP. THIS WILL HAPPEN DOWN SOUTH THIS EVENING. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION THERE FIRST...THEN IT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE
FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY THEN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.
HOWEVER FLOW WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT...BEFORE INCREASING
AGAIN LATE MONDAY. INSTABILITY WILL BE A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR WITH
THIS STORM. LAPSE RATES REMAIN HIGH INTO WED.
FACTORS THAT WILL LIMIT SNOWFALL INCLUDE TODAYS WARM TEMPERATURES.
THIS WILL KEEP SNOW-WATER RATIOS HIGH THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS RAIN IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. ALSO UPPER
LEVEL JET SUPPORT MAINLY PRECEDES MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND
POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION. THE SOUTHWEST OROGRAPHICS DIMINISH BY
MORNING...WITH THE NORTHWEST OROGRAPHICS NOT INCREASING UNTIL MON
NIGHT.
WILL ISSUE A SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND
MONDAY WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. WILL HOLD OFF ON OTHER AREAS AT
THIS TIME DUE TO DELAYED TIMING OF THE EVENT AND UNCERTAINTY OF THE
STRENGTH.
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTH...AS MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW AND ADDITIONAL VORT CENTERS
IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA.
EXTENDED (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...ECMWF AND MRF SIMILAR FOR
PERIODS 3 AND 4 (WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY) WITH DIFFERENCES BECOMING
APPARENT FRIDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. BOTH HAVE
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION AT MIDWEEK. EC MUCH
MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH PAC NW TROF BRINGING AXIS TO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES 12Z FRIDAY WHILE MRF SOLUTION JUST BRINGING FEATURE ONSHORE
AT THIS TIME. IN THE ENSUING PERIODS MRF THEN DEVELOPS BROAD TROF
OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. WHICH PERSISTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.
SOME OF THE ENERGY AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM TO
JUST BRUSH THE NORTHERN ZONES. APPEARS SUFFICIENT UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIODS TO WARRANT ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE GOING
PACKAGE. THEREFORE...WILL FOLLOW HPC GUIDANCE WHICH FAVORED MRF
SOLUTION AND WILL ADD LOW END POPS TO THE NORTH THIS WEEKEND. NL
.GJT...SNOW ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY UT ZN 28 AND CO ZNS
9/12/17/18/19.Winter Storm, Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide
- When
- February 17, 9:00 PM MST to February 18, 9:00 PM MST
- Where
- Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 38.488, -108.155 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Northwestern San Juan Mountains
- When
- February 17, 9:00 PM MST to February 18, 9:00 PM MST
- Where
- Northwestern San Juan Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 38.210, -107.755 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Southwestern San Juan Mountains
- When
- February 17, 9:00 PM MST to February 18, 9:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southwestern San Juan Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 37.594, -107.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Grand and Battlement Mesas
- When
- February 17, 10:00 PM MST to February 19, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Grand and Battlement Mesas forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 39.159, -108.078 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys
- When
- February 17, 10:00 PM MST to February 19, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 39.481, -107.172 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, West Elk and Sawatch Mountains
- When
- February 18, 12:00 AM MST to February 19, 12:00 PM MST
- Where
- West Elk and Sawatch Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 38.643, -107.721 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Elkhead and Park Mountains
- When
- February 18, 6:00 PM MST to February 19, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Elkhead and Park Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 40.552, -107.599 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Flattop Mountains
- When
- February 18, 6:00 PM MST to February 19, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Flattop Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 40.062, -107.603 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Vermont, February 17, 2002$80,000 · 12 events
- Winter Weather in New York, February 17, 2002$5,000 · 7 events
- Heavy Snow in West Virginia, February 17, 20023 events
- Heavy Snow in North Carolina, February 17, 20023 events
- Heavy Snow in New Hampshire, February 17, 20022 events
- Dust Storm in California, February 17, 20022 events
- Winter Storm in Utah, February 17 to 19, 20022 events
- Funnel Cloud in California, February 17, 20021 event
- Heavy Snow in Idaho, February 17 to 18, 20021 event
- Heavy Snow in Nevada, February 17 to 18, 20021 event