Hail in Colorado, August 13, 2002

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO COLORADO
159 PM MDT MON AUG 12 2002

MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE INCLUDE POPS AND COOLING WITH
SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND THEN AMOUNT OF
TEMPERATURE WARMUP MID-WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

IN THE SHORTER RANGE...MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER SYSTEM PUSHES
ACROSS REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHICH IS THEN FOLLOWED BY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT LATER TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND THEN FLAT UPPER
RIDGING FROM LATER THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.  LATEST VERSIONS OF THE
AVN AND TO A LESSER EXTENT...THE GFS HINT AT A FRONT TRYING TO PUSH
INTO CWFA AROUND SATURDAY.

IN SENSIBLE WEATHER TERMS WILL CONTINUE WITH SCATTERED TO HIGH
SCATTERED POPS OVER MAJORITY OF THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF THE CWFA
TONIGHT...STARTING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND THEN TAPERING
OFF TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AS WE APPROACH SUNRISE.

FOR TUESDAY WILL GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS MOST SECTIONS WITH
COOLEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY FROM THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS TO THE EASTERN PLAINS WHERE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 60S AND 70S (AUTUMN-LIKE) COMPARED
TO THE 101F (SUMMER-LIKE) TEMPERATURE NOTED AT PUEBLO ON SUNDAY.

THE COOL DOWN FOR TUESDAY WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS TEMPERATURES REBOUND
QUITE NICELY WEDNESDAY WITH WARM AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT MONDAY.  WARMEST DAYS EXPECTED TO
BE THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHERE
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES MAY HOVER AROUND 100F AGAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN PLAINS.

AS STATED EARLIER...SOME OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS HINT AT FRONT
TRYING TO MOVE INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CWFA BY THE WEEKEND
AND FOR NOW WILL PAINT CWFA WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BUT
STILL DRY AS CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AROUND
FOR DAYS 5 THROUGH 7.

.PUB...NONE.