Arkansas, 2002Damaging Winds in Arkansas, September 19, 2002
September 19, 2002 · NWS TSA · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
3 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 19, 2:35 AM CST, 6 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 2:35 AM CST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
335 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2002
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HAS PUSHED MUCH FARTHER E THAN EARLIER
ANTICIPATED...AND 00Z MODELS WERE RUNNING A GOOD 3 HOURS SLOW WITH
THEIR RESPECTIVE QPF FIELDS. SEVERE THREAT HAS BEEN ONLY
MARGINAL...WITH MESONET SHOWING AN OCCASSIONAL 40-50 MPH WIND GUST
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE PRECIP. CURRENT WATCH BOX WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 09Z.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING WELL DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
SPINNING OVER NE NM. STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF
TRANSLATING THE THE E SIDE OF TROF AXIS...INDICATING THAT SYSTEM IS
BEGINNING TO LIFT OUT. THIS PUTS OUR FORECAST AREA IN A STRONGLY
DIFFLUENT UPPER PATTERN. ONGOING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN THIS MORNING...BUT WITH SYNOPTIC FRONT STILL TO OUR W...MAY
SEE REINTENSIFICATION OVER SE OK/WRN AR THIS AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY WENT WITH CATEGORICAL POPS FOR FAR NE OK/NW AR...AND
LIKELY POPS ELSEWHERE. TEMPS SHUD STAY IN THE 70S...ALTHO FAR ERN
ZONES MAY WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S.
WILL LIMIT THE MENTION OF THUNDER TO FAR ERN OK/WRN AR MAINLY FOR
THIS EVENING. WILL KEEP MENTION OF SHOWERS FARTHER W...AS LONGWAVE
TROF AXIS WILL BE VERY SLOW TO MOVE OUT. SHUD HAVE SOME LINGERING
CLOUDS OVER NE SECTION OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BY THE AFTERNOON.
BOTH THE GFS AND 84HR ETAX LOWER MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS OVER CNTRL/NRN
PLAINS INTO THE WEEKEND AS A RATHER BROAD TROF DROPS SWD FROM
CANADA. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA BY SAT
NIGHT. FMR GUIDANCE LOOKS TOO COOL...BUT WILL LOWER HIGHS SUN AND
LOWS SUN NIGHT.
NO CHANGES MADE TO FORECAST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIM NUMBERS...
TUL 75 58 75 58 / 70 20 10 0
FSM 82 62 78 56 / 70 50 10 0
MLC 80 58 78 55 / 70 20 10 0
BVO 75 57 75 55 / 70 20 10 0
FYV 80 60 72 52 / 90 50 10 0
BYV 78 60 71 56 / 90 50 10 0
MIO 74 58 73 53 / 90 50 10 0
MKO 76 59 76 57 / 70 20 10 0
F10 76 58 77 56 / 70 20 10 0
HHW 82 60 79 57 / 70 50 10 0
FORECAST ID = 18
.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 5:00 AM CST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2002
...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS FRONT DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BY 4 PM...THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
BE LIMITED TO AREAS EAST AND SOUTH OF A MIAMI TO MUSKOGEE TO
MCALESTER LINE. DAMAGING WINDS AND DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS. AFTER 10 PM...THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE EAST OF
THE AREA.
.SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF A MIAMI TO MUSKOGEE TO MCALESTER LINE.
.DISCUSSION...
A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS TODAY. THIS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM COUPLED WITH A COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA HAS BEEN WORKED OVER
BY PREVIOUS AND ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED THIS MORNING. SHOULD THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT BE ABLE TO RECHARGE THIS AFTERNOON STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL
LIKELY BE NEAR A MIAMI TO MUSKOGEE TO MCALESTER TO DURANT LINE AT 4
PM. THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AROUND 10 PM.
THREAT TABLE
VALID THROUGH 1200 UTC FRIDAY
AREA 1...TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF A MIAMI TO MUSKOGEE TO MACLESTER
LINE.
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY...100
SEVERE PROBABILITY IF STORMS OCCUR...50
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE PROBABILITY IF STORMS OCCUR...20
THREAT AREAS DEFINE GREATEST RISK. PROBABILITIES ARE IN PERCENT.
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS DEFINED AS F1 OR GREATER WIND/TORNADO
DAMAGE AND/OR GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER.
RELATED GRAPHICAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
Thunderstorm Wind, Sebastian
- When
- September 19, 8:50 AM CST
- Where
- Sebastian County, Ft Smith
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph)
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 35.383, -94.417
Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew down several trees and knocked power lines down. Up to 6300 residences in Fort Smith lost power.
Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin
- When
- September 19, 9:20 AM CST
- Where
- Franklin County, 10 mi W of Ozark
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph)
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 35.500, -94.017
Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew down a few trees along Interstate 40 near the Crawford county line.
Thunderstorm Wind, Crawford
- When
- September 19, 9:20 AM CST
- Where
- Crawford County, Mulberry
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph)
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 35.500, -94.050
Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew down a few trees.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Michigan, September 19, 20021 death · 2 injured · $127,000 · 55 kt wind · 15 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, September 19, 2002$115,000 · 3 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, September 19, 20022 injured · $50,000 · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, September 19, 2002$77,000 · 0.75 in hail · 8 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Lake Michigan, September 19, 2002$60,000 · 3 events
- Damaging Wind in Oklahoma, September 19, 2002$50,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, September 19, 2002$40,000 · 53 kt wind · 3 events
- Flood and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, September 19, 2002$36,000 · 3 events
- Lightning Strike in South Dakota, September 19, 2002$20,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Missouri, September 19, 2002$15,000 · 52 kt wind · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Lake Huron, September 19, 20029 events
- Flooding and Damaging Wind in Wisconsin, September 19, 2002$12,000 · 56 kt wind · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5320545, 5320546, 5320547.