Alabama, 2002

Damaging Wind in Alabama, November 10, 2002

November 10, 2002 · NWS MOB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 1:11 PM CST, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 1:11 PM CST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
111 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

CURRENTLY ALOFT...A WELL DEFINED MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS OVER THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS WITH THE ASSOCIATED 100-130 KT H3 JET
STRETCHING BACK INTO THE PACIFIC.  THE SHORTWAVE FEATURE WILL
AMPLIFY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS A 130-140 KT JET MAX ROTATES FROM
THE BASE TO EAST SIDE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROF...WHILE ANOTHER PIECE OF
ENERGY WILL MOVE THE DEEP SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION INTO QUEBEC.  THE TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM THIS SURFACE LOW
WILL MEANWHILE ADVANCE INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
BY MONDAY MORNING.  THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE 130-140 KT JET MAXIMA
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE H5 TROF...THE APPROACHING SURFACE FRONT AND
MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL CREATE DEEP LAYER LIFT WHICH WILL BE
STEADILY ADVANCING INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH TONIGHT.  EXPECT THAT A SQUALL LINE...THE INCIPIENT PORTION
OF WHICH HAS NOW FORMED OVER ILLINOIS/MISSOURI...WILL ADVANCE INTO
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN
BECOME CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY 12Z MONDAY.  AHEAD OF
THIS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL PERSIST DURING THE
EVENING HOURS OVER THE FORECAST AREA.  WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...CAPE VALUES WILL BE DECREASING ALTHOUGH HELICITY VALUES
WILL MANAGE TO CLING TO 150...WITH AN H85 JET INCREASING TO 40-50
KNOTS...THUS SUPPORTING THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
THROUGH TONIGHT AS OUTLOOKED BY SPC.  ON MONDAY...THE H5 TROF WILL
CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL STATES AS ANOTHER 130 KT JET
MAX DIVES DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE H5 TROF...AND EVENTUALLY COUPLES
WITH THE JET MAX ON THE LEADING SIDE OF THE TROF...WITH THE BEST
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FROM THESE TWO JET MAXIMA AFFECTING THE
FORECAST AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  THE SQUALL
LINE OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AS OF 12Z MONDAY
IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA DURING MONDAY
MORNING...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT COMING TO LAY NEAR THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST.  A SURFACE WAVE MAY DEVELOP ON THE FRONT
SOMEWHERE NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST ON MONDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AFFECTING THE AREA...AND YET ANOTHER
POWERFUL H3 JET...120-130 KT...WILL DIVE DOWN THE H5
TROF...RESULTING IN DEEP LAYER LIFT...AND APPARENTLY ELEVATED
CONVECTION CONSIDERING THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL COOL
AIR...WHICH WILL SHIFT INTO THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ZIPPING UP THE FRONT AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING MONDAY NIGHT.  ALTHOUGH
THIS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY ELEVATED INITIALLY...THE
SURFACE LOW MAY TRACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND BRING THE WARM
SECTOR WITH IT ON MONDAY NIGHT.  THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR THE CONVECTION
TO BECOME SURFACE BASED OVER THE AREA...WITH THE 40-50 KT H85 JET
HELPING TO PROVIDE HELICITIES AT LEAST IN THE 200-250 RANGE.
ALTHOUGH MORE TIME WILL BE NEEDED TO PROPERLY ASSESS THIS
POSSIBILITY...THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR ACTIVE AND POSSIBLY SEVERE
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO
TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE THE SYSTEM FINALLY SHIFTS EAST OF OUR
FORECAST AREA.  AS THE H5 TROF CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EASTWARD WITH
THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/TROF CONTINUING EASTWARD WITH IT...COOLER
AND DRIER WEATHER WILL ENSUE FOR THE AREA AT LEAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT
AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.  A SURFACE LOW MOVING ACROSS
QUEBEC ON THURSDAY MAY BRING A TRAILING WEAK FRONT INTO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN.  CONSIDERING CLIMATOLOGY AND
ABSENCE ANY DEFINITE WEATHER SYSTEM...WILL LEAVE SUNDAY DRY.

MARINE...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS CURRENTLY OVER THE MARINE AREA
SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING...THEN SUBSIDE ON
MONDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.  FOR MONDAY NIGHT...THE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AGAIN INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AS THE SURFACE LOW
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND APPROACH FROM THE WEST...WITH WINDS THEN
SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW/FRONT
FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

FIRE...BREEZY...BUT OTHERWISE NO CONCERNS.

PRELIMINARY CCF NUMBERS...AM GOING TO TRUST THE GFS TO BRING IN WARM
SECTOR ON MONDAY NIGHT.
MOB TT 069/079 058/061 043 297786
PNS TT 072/079 062/065 045 296787
DTS TT 073/079 064/066 048 295777
GZH TT 067/077 057/057 041 297787
2RO TR 063/072 049/053 039 298585
61A TT 065/074 053/055 042 298686

.MOB...
AL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT GMZ630-650-670.
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT GMZ655-675.
MS...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 10, 12:05 PM CST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED FOR RIP CURRENT THREAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1205 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.  A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER
TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OUT
AHEAD.  THE STORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT AS A SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND PUSHES
THROUGH A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION.
STRONG MID AND UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS OVERRIDING 20 MPH PLUS
SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS.  IF SUPERCELL STORMS DEVELOP...THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THEN SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
DURING THE EVENING AND LATE NIGHT HOURS.  THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
INCLUDES MOST OF SOUTWEST ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE EXTREME WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  THE MODERATE RISK AREA EXTENDS INTO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...PRIMARILY
ALONG ALONG AND NORTH OF A WIGGINS...CHATOM...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN
LINE.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY 5 AM EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AS THE DRIVING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT PULLS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THE VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY
WIND FLOW WILL RESULT IN A HIGH LIKELYHOOD OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG
AREA BEACHES FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY...CONTINUING THROUGH
TONIGHT.  BEACHGOERS SHOULD HEED WARNINGS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS
REGARDING THE RIP CURRENT POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...STORM SPOTTERS
AND HAM RADIO OPERATORS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

.MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THE COLD FRONT WILL SAG NEAR THE COASTAL SECTIONS EARLY ON MONDAY.
THE FRONT WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS A SERIES OF UPPER
DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.  A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF LOUISIANA BY MONDAY
EVENING...AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
MONDAY NIGHT.  ALTHOUGH THE COOL NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE
SHOULD HINDER SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH AS THE SURFACE LOW PUSHES
TOWARD THE AREA.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE
COASTAL COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING...THEN SPREAD
WELL EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA BY
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.  BEHIND THE FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTH
WINDS WILL SPREAD COOL...DRY AIR OVER THE REGION.  THEREFORE...NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Choctaw

When
November 10, 4:15 PM CST to 4:16 PM CST
Where
Choctaw County, Gilbertown
Measured
50 kt (58 mph)
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
NEWSPAPER
Coordinates
31.867, -88.317

Trees were blown down by high winds from a thunderstorm just west of Gilbertown.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alabama in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, November 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5322703.