Damaging Wind in North Carolina, August 28, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
120 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2001

PTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH CHCY POPS LOOK TO CONT THRU PD. MDLS INDICATE
WEAK SRT WVS WILL MOVE ENE ACRS REGION NEXT CPL DAYS AND PRODUCING
SCT SHRA/TSRA IN MOIST/UNSTBLE AIRMASS. EXPECT MOST OF PRECIP TO BE
DURING AFTN AND EVENING BUT WL NOT TIME REF GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN SRT
WVS. GIVEN THE WEAKNESS OF UPR FEATURES THINK BEST TO KEEP POPS IN
CHC RANGE. RDR CRNTLY QUIET BUT EXPECT TSRA TO FIRE THIS AFTN PER
STRONG INSTAB AND THESE SHLD CONT INTO OVERNIGHT HOURS AS SRT WV
MOVES ACRS SRN TIER. SHLD SEE ENUF BREAKS IN CLOUDS TO SEE HIGHS IN
THE 85 TO 90 DGR RANGE AWAY FROM BEACHES NEXT CPL DAYS. MUGGY AT
NIGHT WITH LOWS IN LOW TO MID 70S.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND LOOKS UNSETTLED AS DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS ACRS
REGION AND FRONT STALLS IN VICINTY.

CWF: SW WINDS IN 15 TO 20 KT RANGE THEN BECOME W LATE AROUND 15 KT.
GRADIENT WEAKENS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND WINDS STAY LESS THAN 15 KT
UNTIL THU AFTERNOON WHEN GRADIENT TIGHTENS AGAIN AND WINDS COME
AROUND MORE TO THE SOUTH.

RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL BE LOW N OF CAPE HATTERAS AND APPROACHING
INCREASED FOR S FACING BEACHES.

.MHX...NONE.

RF/WS

NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-282300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
230 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2001

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AREAS SOUTH OF A GREENVILLE TO
BELHAVEN LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING WHEN
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH.

RF