Winter Storm in Kansas, February 9, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...COR TO ADD ENDING TIME OF WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
324 AM CST FRI FEB 9 2001

MAIN FCST CONCERN IS TIMING THE END OF PRECIP AND WINTER WX
WARNINGS. 06Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED ALL THE WAY
THROUGH THE STATE. PROFILER NETWORK SHOWS 55KT SWLY WINDS PUMPING
+12 DEW POINTS OVER SFC FRONT IN SE KS. FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AND SNOW
HAS BEEN OCCURRING WITH THUNDER ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...AND IS NOW
MAINLY ACROSS THE SCEN SECTION. REPORTS OF A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
SNOWFALL...6 TO 10 INCHES IN SOME CASES...HAD FALLEN ACROSS PARTS OF
RUSSELL AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS AS YOU GO SOUTH.
TOTAL SNOW AND SLUSH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WERE COMMON
ACROSS SCEN. EXPECT THE PRECIP MIX TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA OVERNIGHT. BY 12Z...EXPECT
PRECIP TO BE ALL SNOW FOR CEN/SCEN SECTIONS. THE WIND HAS ALSO
REALLY INCREASED ACROSS THE CEN SECTIONS. PROFILERS HAVE 35-45KTS
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...BRINGING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS THE
NORTH.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT...850MB FRONT TO PUSH OUT OF SE KS SHORTLY AFTER
12Z FRI. H50/H30 TROUGHS DONT MOVE OUT OF KS UNTIL CLOSE TO 18Z.
SOUNDINGS STAY SATURATED THROUGH ABOUT 18Z. 500MB COLD POOL PROGGED
TO CROSS FCST AREA AROUND MIDDAY. THEREFORE EXPECT SNOW TO LINGER
THROUGH THE MORNING FOR CEN/SCEN SECTIONS...BEFORE ENDING AROUND
MIDDAY. IT IS A BIT TRICKIER FOR SE KS. EXPECT TO STILL SEE A MIXED
BAG OF PRECIP INTO THE MORNING...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY MID/LATE
MORNING. SNOW SHOULD THEN HANG AROUND INTO THE AFTERNOON. WILL NOT
SEE AS MUCH SNOW ACROSS SCEN/SE SECTIONS AS ACROSS CEN KS.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUM OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED NEARLY
EVERYWHERE...LESS ACROSS THE NORTH.

WILL ISSUE/EXTEND WINTER WX WARNING FOR ENTIRE AREA UNTIL MIDDAY FOR
VARIOUS WINTER WX CRITERIA.

WAVE THEN QUICKLY EXITS THE REGION FRI NIGHT...TAKING CLOUDS WITH
IT. CLEAR SKIES/LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS FRI NIGHT SHOULD BRING VERY
COLD LOWS. RETURN FLOW SAT WILL BRING WARMER HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THE
WEEKEND.

FCSTID = 7/NRR
ICT   23   8  33  27 /  80   0   5   5
HUT   21   3  31  26 /  60   0   5  10
EWK   22   6  32  26 /  80   0   5   5
EQA   24   9  35  26 /  80   0   5   5
WLD   25   8  35  28 /  80   0   5   5
RSL   19   3  30  25 /  50   0   5  10
GBD   20   4  30  25 /  50   0   5  10
SLN   20   4  31  25 /  70   0   5  10
MPR   21   4  32  25 /  70   0   5  10
CFV   28   9  38  30 /  90   0   0   5
CNU   26   9  37  28 /  90   0   0   5
K88   25   8  36  28 /  90   0   0   5

.ICT...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 18Z FOR
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>72-082-083-091>096-098>100.