Hail and Damaging Winds in Indiana, May 16, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
220 PM EST WED MAY 16 2001

FCST CHALLENGE WL BE TRW CHCS THROUGH THE PD AS CD FNT SETTLES INTO
CWA OVRNGT AND MEANDERS BACK AND FORTH INTO FRI.

SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOW REMAINING MCS OVER STATE BEGINNING TO
WEAKEN. ILLINOIS AIR STILL QUITE UNSTABLE AHEAD OF CDFNT. CU
HAVE BEEN DVLPG ECNTRL IL AND ANOTHER BAND ACRS SRN IL...BOTH WHICH
SHOULD GROW TO SCT TSHRA AND PERHAPS MORE AS ETA SUGGESTS.

WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SOME PART OF CWA INTO FRI AND SEVERAL
SHORT WAVES TO HELP FAVOR CONVECTION...NEXT FEW DAYS ARE BEST SHOT
IN AWHILE FOR PCPN OVER AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN DRY FOR SO LONG.
PROBLEM IS TIMING OF EACH PCPN WAVE. WILL BE VERY GENERIC AT THIS
POINT FOR TIMING BUT GO FOR HIGHER POPS THAN PREVIOUS FCSTS.

HAVE LEANED TO COOLER AVN TEMPS AS EXPECTING CLOUDIER PCPN PERIODS
THAN FWC SUGGESTS. ALSO HAVE LEANED HIGHER INTO POPS.

.IND...NONE.
TUCEK

INZ038-040>042-049-161500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
925 AM EST WED MAY 16 2001

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING TOWARD KOKOMO...

AT 916 AM THUNDERSTORMS WERE SOUTH OF MUNCIE IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE
COUNTY. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE NEW CASTLE AND WINCHESTER
AREAS BY 935 AM. HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

OTHER STRONG STORMS WERE 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOKOMO AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO ELWOOD AND NEARBY
LOCATIONS BY 935 AM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN. MARBLE SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

TUCEK

INZ038>042-049-161530-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
955 AM EST WED MAY 16 2001

AT 950 AM THUNDERSTORMS WERE BETWEEN TIPTON...MUNCIE AND NEW
CASTLE AND MOVING SOUTHEAST. OTHER STORMS WERE FROM LOGANSPORT TO
FORT WAYNE AND ALSO HEADING SOUTHEAST.

ANDERSON WILL HAVE STORMS THROUGH 1030 AM. MUNCIE WILL SEE MORE
STORMS BETWEEN 10 AM AND 1030 AM BUT THESE WILL BE WEAKER THAN THE
EARLIER STORMS. MORE 5STORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NEW CASTLE AREA INTO
11 AM.

HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY WITH ALL STORMS. HAIL TO MARBLE SIZE AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

TUCEK

INZ021-161810-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1223 PM EST WED MAY 16 2001

AT 1220 PM A STRONGER THUNDERSTORM WAS NORTHWEST OF CARROLL
COUNTY...JUST WEST OF MONTICELLO. THE STORM WAS MOVING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 30 MPH AND WILL PASS ACROSS DELPHI BURROWS AND
ROCKFIELD BY 1235 PM. THE STORMS WILL THEN REACH THE BURLINGTON...
CULTER AND LEXINGTON AREAS AROUND 100 PM.

HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY WITH ALL STORMS. SMALL HAIL TO MARBLE SIZE AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. PEOPLE SHOULD STAY ALERT TO
LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

PUMA