Hail and Damaging Winds in Indiana, July 4, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
200 AM EST WED JUL 4 2001

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS COLD FRONT EXTENDING DOWN WI AND BACK INTO IA
WITH STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT FORMED OVER IA LAST EVENING PUSHING SOUTH
THRU MO ATTM. KIWX RADAR SHOWING A FEW STORMS MOVING/DEVELOPING
OVER WESTERN CWA. COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS CWA TODAY AND PRECIP
CHANCES WILL BE TIMED WITH ITS ARRIVAL. FRONT TO ARRIVE IN NW CWA BY
18Z. WILL LIMIT CHANCE POPS TO BEFORE NOON HERE. GOOD INSTABILITY AND
INCREASING SFC CONVERGENCE SETS UP OVER SOUTHERN CWA WITH CAPES ABOVE
2500J/KG AND LI AROUND -5. LATEST SWODY1 ALSO HAS AREA IN SLIGHT RISK
SO WILL MENTION STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE AS WELL. FRONT TO BECOME MORE
E/W ORIENTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN CWA.
WILL KEEP A MENTION FOR EARLY THIS EVENING IN SE CWA WITH OTHERWISE
CLEARING SKIES ACROSS THE AREA. DRY FCST REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. GUIDANCE GENERALLY ON TRACK
WITH BLEND USED.

.IWX...NONE.

JAL

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-041700-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
435 AM EST WED JUL 4 2001

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED NORTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST OHIO IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA TODAY. THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT
WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY ALLOW SOME
STORMS TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM
WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR FURTHER UPDATES.