Flooding in Indiana, July 4, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
300 AM EST WED JUL 4 2001

MAIN PROBLEM IN MORNING FORECAST IS TWO FOLD. FIRST IS HOW LONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING
HOURS AND WHERE ACTIVITY WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

CURRENT ACTIVITY WIDESPREAD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE WHILE ONLY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NORTHWEST
AND SOUTHCENTRAL. THINK ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING OR
AROUND 9 TO 10 AM THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY. SPLIT 1ST PERIOD INTO
MORNING AND AFTERNOON FORECASTS. SECOND AND MORE IMPORTANT PROBLEM
IS TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT AND WHERE FRONT/PRECIPITATION WILL BE
BY EVENING. AVN/NGM MOVE FRONT SOUTHWARD QUICKLY WHILE MESOETA SLOWER
AND SEEMS TO BE CONSISTENT AND BEST FIT WITH CURRENT ACTIVITY. IF
INDEED MESOETA IS BEST FIRST 12 TO 18 HOURS THEN THREAT FOR AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IS REAL FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA. MORE
NORTHERN AREAS OF THE CWA WILL HAVE ACTIVITY THROUGH EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON BUT DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE LAF/OKK AREA BY EARLY
EVENING. NOT SO FOR CENTRAL AREAS AS MESOETA HAS HIGHER RH BAND
MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE 00Z-06Z SO
PRUDENCE DICTATES A MENTION OF PRECIPITATION DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. LATER FORECASTS WILL FINE TUNE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. CLEARING AND COOLER
CONDITIONS MOVING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY DRY
AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO MAJOR DISAGREEMENTS WITH TEMPERATURES BUT AS WAS THE CASE TUESDAY
IF CLOUD COVER AND RAIN PERSIST MOST OF DAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT RISE ABOVE THE 70S. WILL STICK WITH SOME SUNSHINE IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO NEAR 80 TO THE LOWER 80S.

IND...NONE.
RPG

INZ036-037-039-040-045>048-053>056-062>064-040730-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1218 AM EST WED JUL 4 2001

AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA
EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES WERE REPORTED AT
INDIANAPOLIS WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 OF A MILE AND AT
SHELYBYVILLE WITH VISIBILITIES AROUND 1/4 OF A MILE AT MIDNIGHT.
VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE AFTER 2 AM EST AS AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY OVER WEST CENTRAL INDIANA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA. VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE TO BETWEEN 2 AND 4 MILES AFTER
2 AM EST. MOTORISTS SHOULD REDUCE TRAVEL SPEEDS IN DENSE FOG AREAS
AND USE ONLY LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS.

RPG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
410 AM EST WED JUL 04 2001

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0304 AM    DUDLEYTOWN                IN    MPH TSTM GUST
07/04/01   JACKSON                        REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT
                                          OFFICIAL.
6 INCH DIAMETER TR;EES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROAD.