Flooding in California, November 24, 2001

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
820 AM PST SAT NOV 24 2001

OVERALL...THINGS ARE STARTING VERY MUCH AS THOUGHT. RADAR/SURFACE
OBS INDICATE LIGHT RAIN FALLING ACROSS SLO/SBA COUNTIES...WITH
SOME LOCAL DRIZZLE OVER VTU/LAX COUNTIES. LATEST HIGH-RES ETA STILL
INDICATES FRONT SHOULD BLOW THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY TODAY...WITH
MAIN RAIN BAND EXITING LAX COUNTY THIS EVENING. WITH THE MAIN FRONT
WILL EXPECT A BAND OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO MOVE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DUE TO FAST MOVING SYSTEM...QPF TOTALS
SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 0.50 TO 1.50 INCHES FOR COASTAL AREAS
WITH UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. WILL HAVE TO REMAIN VIGILANT
FOR URBAN FLOODING PROBLEMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. SNOW LEVELS DO
NOT DROP SIGNIFICANTLY UNITL SUNDAY MORNING...SO DO NOT ANTICIPATE
ANY MAJOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS. AS FOR WINDS...STILL EXPECTING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS/ANTELOPE TODAY AS THE FRONT MOVES IN.
WILL CONTINUE WITH WIND ADVISORIES FOR MOUNTAINS/ANTELOPE VALLEY.
COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY WIDESPREAD ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS.
AS FOR THUNDERSTORMS...LIFTED INDEX PROGS AND 500 MB TEMPS STILL
INDICATE MARGINAL THREAT TODAY. SO WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE OF
THUNDER AS THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE VERY DYNAMIC.

ISSUED ZONE UPDATE EARLIER TO ADJUST PRECIP WORDING IN ZONES.
OTHERWISE...THINGS LOOK VERY MUCH ON TRACK FOR TODAY.

LAX ++3. THOMPSON.

.LOX...WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLAX).
       GALE WARNING/SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLAX).