Damaging Wind in Arkansas, July 12, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
310 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2001

FORECAST CONCERNS: HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

INTERSECTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS
TRIGGERED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF
WHICH BECAME SEVERE OVER LINCOLN AND LATER OVER DREW/DESHA COUNTIES.
THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE MODEL OF
CHOICE IS AVN. TEMPERATURES WILL VARY WIDELY BETWEEN THE RAIN-COOLED
AREAS AND THOSE OTHER AREAS. THE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH MOVED WEST TO
ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN UPON US WILL BE MOVING BACK INTO
ARKANSAS BY MONDAY. TAHIS WILL BRING ABOUT A RETURN TO HIGH HEAT AND
HIGH HUMIDITY.

.LIT...NONE.

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ARZ022>025-031>034-038-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-130900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1053 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2001

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR 34 COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPED ALONG A COLD FRONT IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SHORTLY
AFTER SUNSET. THIS LINE WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH DURING THE
NIGHT WHILE THE INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST
AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WIND. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN LARGE HAIL. ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
HAVE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. SOME
AREAS MAY GET REPEATING THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS SHOULD REVIEW THEIR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SAFETY RULES AND SHOULD REMAIN IN A PLACE
OF SAFETY THROUGH THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IF A WARNING IS ISSUED
FOR YOUR COUNTY.

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