Rivers in New York
East Branch Delaware River at Harvard
Below flood stage
2.71ftStage
Observed Tue, Sep 29, 3:45 PM EDT
- Flood stage
- 10.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 2.70 ftTue, Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT
- Record crest
- 16.93 ft1938
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 15.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 12.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 10.00 ft |
| Action | 7.00 ft |
- 24.40 ftFEMA flood insurance maps indicate that a river level of 24.4 feet corresponds to the water elevation associated witih the 0.2 percent (500 year) flood risk zone. If your property is determined to be in this zone, then it is at high risk for flooding during a record flood event. This magnitude of flooding has a 0.2 percent chance of occurring in any year.
- 19.60 ftFEMA flood insurance maps indicate that a river level at 19.6 feet corresponds to the water elevation associated with the 1 percent (100 year) flood risk zone. If your property is determined to be in this zone, then it is at high risk for flooding during a record flood event. A flood of this magnitude has a 1 percent chance of occurring in any year.
- 16.93 ftThis level, from September 1938, is the historic flood of record prior to the construction of Downsville Dam.
- 16.61 ftThis is the flood level from June, 2006 and is the modern flood of record. Widespread flooding, resulting in catastrophic property and infrastructure damage, occurred from Downsville to East Branch.
- 16.32 ftThis is the flood level from April, 2005 and is considered to be major flooding.
- 16.07 ftThis is the flood level from September, 2004 and is considered to be major flooding.
- 15.00 ftMajor flood stage. Above 15 feet, river flooding is widespread from Downsville to East Branch with several residential and commercial properties affected between Harvard Road and Route 30. Significant backwater flooding from Baxter Brook is also likely. River water crosses O and W Road between East Branch and Fishs Eddy. Evacuations typically begin throughout the Town of Colchester.
- 14.73 ftThis is the flood level from the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee in September, 2011 and is considered to be moderate flooding.
- 13.31 ftThis is the flood level from the remnants of Hurricane Irene in August, 2011 and is considered to be moderate flooding.
- 12.63 ftThis is the flood level from January, 1996 and is considered to be moderate flooding.
- 12.00 ftModerate Flood Stage. Between 12 and 15 feet, river flooding begins at the Oxbow Campground in Harvard. Significant backwater flooding from Baxter Brook is also likely. Residences along Harvard Road and Route 30 from Harvard to East Branch are threatened.
- 11.00 ftHarvard Road, Fox Lane and Harvard Cemetery Road become impassable in spots due to increasing river flooding. Camp cottage properties along Route 30 flood.
- 10.00 ftMinor flood stage. Low lying roads along the river from Downsville to East Branch begin to flood.
- 7.00 ftIsland Road in the Town of Colchester is normally closed at this level.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, October to December
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 5% |
| Moderate flooding | Under 5% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 28, 2026.
Crest history
29 crests on NOAA’s list since 1936.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | September 22, 1938 | 16.93 ft |
| 2 | June 28, 2006 | 16.61 ft |
| 3 | April 3, 2005 | 16.32 ft |
| 4 | September 19, 2004 | 16.07 ft |
| 5 | March 22, 1948 | 15.75 ft |
| 6 | November 26, 1950 | 15.69 ft |
| 7 | March 18, 1936 | 15.58 ft |
| 8 | March 31, 1940 | 15.01 ft |
| 9 | September 8, 2011 | 14.73 ft |
| 10 | May 23, 1942 | 14.62 ft |
| 11 | December 31, 1948 | 14.47 ft |
| 12 | December 12, 1952 | 13.96 ft |
| 13 | August 29, 2011 | 13.31 ft |
| 14 | December 2, 1996 | 12.80 ft |
| 15 | April 8, 2022 | 12.76 ft |
| 16 | February 27, 1945 | 12.74 ft |
| 17 | January 20, 1996 | 12.63 ft |
| 18 | May 30, 1984 | 11.78 ft |
| 19 | March 9, 2008 | 11.69 ft |
| 20 | December 6, 1938 | 11.50 ft |
| 21 | August 10, 2024 | 11.41 ft |
| 22 | January 19, 2006 | 11.38 ft |
| 23 | April 5, 1950 | 11.17 ft |
| 24 | March 6, 2008 | 10.87 ft |
| 25 | January 6, 1946 | 10.83 ft |
Most recent crests
- August 10, 2024: 11.41 ft
- April 8, 2022: 12.76 ft
- September 8, 2011: 14.73 ft
- August 29, 2011: 13.31 ft
- March 24, 2010: 10.29 ft
- March 9, 2008: 11.69 ft
- March 6, 2008: 10.87 ft
- June 28, 2006: 16.61 ft
- January 19, 2006: 11.38 ft
- April 3, 2005: 16.32 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Gauge reading may be affected by ice. Forecast flows are unadjusted for ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.