Rivers in New York
Otselic River at Cincinnatus
Below flood stage
1.12ftStage
Observed Thu, Oct 1, 10:00 AM EDT
- Flood stage
- 9.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 2.50 ftSat, Oct 3, 2:00 AM EDT
- Record crest
- 12.50 ft1935
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 11.50 ft |
| Moderate flood | 10.50 ft |
| Minor flood | 9.00 ft |
| Action | 8.00 ft |
- 12.50 ftEstimated level of the July 1935 flood which occurred before installation of the river gage. Widespread destruction occurred downstream from Willet to Upper Lisle.
- 11.90 ftPortions of the Cincinnatus Central School will flood. FEMA flood insurance risk maps indicate that this level, as measured at the stream gage, marks the 1% (100 year) floodplain. Your property is at risk of flooding during a major flood event. A 100 year flood is a flood that has a 1 percent chance of occurring in any year.
- 11.50 ftWidespread flooding of homes and properties occurs along Cincinnatus Road, Telephone Road and Lower Cincinnatus Road on the east side of the river. The Cincinnatus fire department floods. Flooding also occurrs along Route 26 in the vicinity of Lower Cincinnatus.
- 10.50 ftFlood waters affect first floor properties along Cincinnatus Road. Deer Path Lane is cut off by flooding.
- 9.50 ftWidespread basement and yard flooding occurs in Cincinnatus, especially along Deer Path Lane and Lower Cincinnatus Road.
- 9.00 ftAgricultural lands between Cincinnatus and Willet flood.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, October to December
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | Under 5% |
| Moderate flooding | Under 5% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 28, 2026.
Crest history
47 crests on NOAA’s list since 1935.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | July 8, 1935 | 12.50 ft |
| 2 | January 19, 1996 | 10.89 ft |
| 3 | April 4, 1950 | 10.68 ft |
| 4 | December 30, 1942 | 10.67 ft |
| 5 | April 3, 2005 | 10.55 ft |
| 6 | March 20, 1948 | 10.27 ft |
| 7 | March 5, 1964 | 10.23 ft |
| 8 | March 11, 1955 | 10.19 ft |
| 9 | March 13, 1977 | 10.05 ft |
| 10 | April 11, 1993 | 9.94 ft |
| 11 | March 31, 1951 | 9.91 ft |
| 12 | December 25, 2020 | 9.89 ft |
| 13 | March 6, 1979 | 9.88 ft |
| 14 | April 8, 1940 | 9.86 ft |
| 15 | October 2, 1945 | 9.78 ft |
| 16 | March 17, 1943 | 9.77 ft |
| 17 | October 9, 1976 | 9.70 ft |
| 18 | March 17, 1945 | 9.67 ft |
| 19 | March 17, 1944 | 9.66 ft |
| 20 | January 22, 1959 | 9.65 ft |
| 21 | September 8, 2011 | 9.63 ft |
| 22 | April 6, 1947 | 9.59 ft |
| 23 | June 28, 2006 | 9.59 ft |
| 24 | February 26, 1961 | 9.55 ft |
| 25 | March 17, 1942 | 9.51 ft |
Most recent crests
- December 25, 2020: 9.89 ft
- November 1, 2019: 9.19 ft
- September 8, 2011: 9.63 ft
- June 28, 2006: 9.59 ft
- April 3, 2005: 10.55 ft
- January 19, 1996: 10.89 ft
- April 11, 1993: 9.94 ft
- March 15, 1986: 9.22 ft
- December 14, 1983: 9.45 ft
- February 4, 1982: 9.42 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Gauge reading may be affected by ice. Forecast flows are unadjusted for ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.