New York mountains

Mount Marcy mountain forecast

5,344 ft (1,629 m) · prominence 4,915 ft (1,498 m) · New York

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 48°F and wind from the NE at 37 mph, a wind chill of 38°F, Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT. The freezing level is at 13,238 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: mostly cloudy, high 50°F at its grid elevation of 4,767 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Marcy and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
5,344 ft (1,629 m)
Forecast grid ground
4,767 ft (1,453 m)
Summit temperature
48°F
Summit wind
NE 37 mph
Freezing level
13,238 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
48°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 4,767 ft up 577 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT48°FNE 37 mph38°F13,238 ft7,894 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT48°FNE 24 mph40°F13,415 ft8,071 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT47°FNE 36 mph37°F12,631 ft7,287 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT47°FENE 42 mph36°F12,136 ft6,791 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDT47°FENE 37 mph37°F12,119 ft6,775 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT50°FE 42 mph41°F12,175 ft6,831 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM EDT49°FESE 36 mph40°F12,110 ft6,765 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM EDT50°FESE 33 mph41°F11,699 ft6,355 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT49°FE 21 mph42°F11,319 ft5,974 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDT46°FE 19 mph39°F11,407 ft6,063 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT47°FENE 9 mph43°F11,371 ft6,027 ft above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 2:00 AM EDT47°FNE 6 mph44°F11,260 ft5,915 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT, interpolated to 5,344 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TodayHigh 50°FNE 29-36 mphMostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Northeast wind 29 to 36 mph.
TonightLow 44°FNE 36-40 mphA chance of rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 36 to 40 mph, with gusts as high as 52 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
SundayHigh 47°FE 37-41 mphA chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. East wind 37 to 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday NightLow 45°FE 21-37 mphA chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind 21 to 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
MondayHigh 48°FE 10-21 mphRain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. East wind 10 to 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 45°FE 7-14 mphRain showers likely before 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 48°FN 3-8 mphMostly cloudy, with a high near 48. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Tuesday NightLow 45°FNW 6 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
WednesdayHigh 53°FW 6 mphA slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. West wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday NightLow 46°FSW 5-8 mphA slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (44.1127, -73.9237), by its office in Burlington, VT. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 4,767 ft (1,453 m), 577 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDTMostly Cloudy46°F / 35°F7,282 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDTMostly Cloudy49°F / 39°F7,027 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDTCloudy48°F / 41°F6,366 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDTSlight Chance Rain Showers47°F / 39°F6,576 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers44°F / 37°F6,376 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDTChance Rain Showers44°F / 44°F4,781 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM EDTChance Rain Showers47°F / 45°F5,209 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers46°F / 44°F5,232 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers45°F / 44°F4,986 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDTRain Showers Likely46°F / 46°F4,776 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDTChance Rain Showers47°F / 47°F4,767 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 2:00 AM EDTMostly Cloudy47°F / 46°F4,981 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:19 AM6:48 AM6:46 PM7:14 PM11h 58m
September 276:20 AM6:49 AM6:44 PM7:12 PM11h 55m
September 286:21 AM6:50 AM6:42 PM7:11 PM11h 52m
September 296:22 AM6:51 AM6:40 PM7:09 PM11h 49m
September 306:23 AM6:52 AM6:38 PM7:07 PM11h 46m
October 16:25 AM6:53 AM6:36 PM7:05 PM11h 43m
October 26:26 AM6:55 AM6:35 PM7:03 PM11h 40m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Marcy is in the Adirondack Park zone of the New York State Avalanche Center. Status: off season.

Elevation
5,344 ft (1,629 m)
Prominence
4,915 ft (1,498 m)
Coordinates
44.1127, -73.9237
Nearest town
North Elba

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.