New York mountains

Dix Mountain mountain forecast

4,839 ft (1,475 m) · prominence 2,831 ft (863 m) · New York

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 50°F and wind from the NE at 27 mph, a wind chill of 42°F, Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT. The freezing level is at 12,851 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly cloudy, high 52°F at its grid elevation of 3,645 ft.

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The summit on the map

Dix Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
4,839 ft (1,475 m)
Forecast grid ground
3,645 ft (1,111 m)
Summit temperature
50°F
Summit wind
NE 27 mph
Freezing level
12,851 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
48°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 3,645 ft up 1,194 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT50°FNE 27 mph42°F12,851 ft8,012 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT48°FNE 34 mph39°F13,432 ft8,593 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT47°FNE 25 mph39°F13,688 ft8,848 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT48°FNE 35 mph39°F13,084 ft8,245 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT49°FENE 39 mph40°F12,224 ft7,385 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDT49°FE 37 mph40°F12,087 ft7,247 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT51°FE 41 mph12,421 ft7,582 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM EDT51°FE 36 mph12,110 ft7,270 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM EDT51°FESE 33 mph11,752 ft6,913 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT50°FE 22 mph43°F11,467 ft6,627 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDT49°FENE 11 mph45°F11,220 ft6,381 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT49°FENE 8 mph45°F11,237 ft6,398 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT, interpolated to 4,839 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 46°FNE 22-25 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 22 to 25 mph.
SaturdayHigh 52°FNE 24-31 mphMostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Northeast wind 24 to 31 mph.
Saturday NightLow 45°FNE 31-36 mphA chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 31 to 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
SundayHigh 49°FE 31-37 mphRain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind 31 to 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday NightLow 47°FE 20-30 mphA chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind 20 to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
MondayHigh 49°FE 9-21 mphRain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind 9 to 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 47°FE 6-14 mphRain showers likely before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind 6 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
TuesdayHigh 50°FN 2-6 mphMostly cloudy, with a high near 50. North wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tuesday NightLow 47°FNW 2-6 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
WednesdayHigh 55°FSW 2-6 mphA slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (44.0822, -73.7864), by its office in Burlington, VT. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 3,645 ft (1,111 m), 1,194 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDTMostly Cloudy47°F / 38°F5,682 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDTMostly Cloudy51°F / 40°F6,169 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDTSlight Chance Rain Showers51°F / 43°F5,486 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers49°F / 41°F5,449 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers47°F / 40°F5,226 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDTRain Showers Likely45°F / 45°F3,645 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM EDTChance Rain Showers49°F / 47°F4,082 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers48°F / 46°F4,105 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDTChance Rain Showers47°F / 46°F3,859 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDTRain Showers Likely48°F / 48°F3,650 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDTChance Rain Showers49°F / 49°F3,645 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 2:00 AM EDTMostly Cloudy49°F / 48°F3,855 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:18 AM6:47 AM6:47 PM7:16 PM-12h 0m
September 276:19 AM6:48 AM6:45 PM7:14 PM-13h -3m
September 286:21 AM6:49 AM6:43 PM7:12 PM-13h -6m
September 296:22 AM6:51 AM6:41 PM7:10 PM-13h -10m
September 306:23 AM6:52 AM6:40 PM7:08 PM-13h -12m
October 16:24 AM6:53 AM6:38 PM7:06 PM-13h -15m
October 26:25 AM6:54 AM6:36 PM7:05 PM-13h -18m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Dix Mountain is in the Adirondack Park zone of the New York State Avalanche Center. Status: off season.

Elevation
4,839 ft (1,475 m)
Prominence
2,831 ft (863 m)
Coordinates
44.0822, -73.7864
Nearest town
Mineville

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.