Kaʻala mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 65°F and wind from the ENE at 42 mph, Fri, Sep 25, 8:00 PM HST. The freezing level is at 16,821 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: tropical storm conditions possible, high 79°F at its grid elevation of 2,736 ft.
The summit on the map
Kaʻala and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Kaʻala
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 4,026 ft (1,227 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 2,736 ft (834 m)
- Summit temperature
- 65°F
- Summit wind
- ENE 42 mph
- Freezing level
- 16,821 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 74°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 2,736 ft up 1,290 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 8:00 PM HST | 65°F | ENE 42 mph | 16,821 ft | 12,795 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM HST | 63°F | ENE 38 mph | 16,850 ft | 12,825 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM HST | 62°F | ENE 42 mph | 17,090 ft | 13,064 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM HST | 63°F | ENE 42 mph | 17,162 ft | 13,136 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM HST | 62°F | ENE 48 mph | 17,543 ft | 13,517 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM HST | 64°F | E 45 mph | 17,352 ft | 13,327 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM HST | 64°F | E 48 mph | 17,523 ft | 13,497 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM HST | 65°F | E 46 mph | 17,441 ft | 13,415 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM HST | 64°F | E 45 mph | 16,670 ft | 12,644 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM HST | 65°F | E 33 mph | 16,972 ft | 12,946 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM HST | 65°F | E 34 mph | 16,680 ft | 12,654 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM HST | 64°F | ESE 19 mph | 16,877 ft | 12,851 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 2:00 PM HST, interpolated to 4,026 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | Low 68°F | ENE 39-44 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Saturday | High 79°F | ENE 39-47 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Scattered rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Saturday Night | Low 68°F | ENE 47-52 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Isolated rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Sunday | High 79°F | E 28-51 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Isolated rain showers before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Sunday Night | Low 68°F | E 20-23 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. East wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 56 mph. |
| Monday | High 81°F | E 16-21 mph | Partly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. |
| Monday Night | Low 68°F | E 10-14 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. East wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
| Tuesday | High 80°F | E 12 mph | Partly sunny, with a high near 80. East wind around 12 mph. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 67°F | ESE 10 mph | Isolated rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. East southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
| Wednesday | High 79°F | SE 14 mph | Isolated rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (21.5069, -158.1428), by its office in Honolulu, HI. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 2,736 ft (834 m), 1,290 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM HST | Tropical Storm Conditions Possible | 68°F / 66°F | 3,192 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM HST | Scattered Rain Showers | 69°F / 65°F | 3,666 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM HST | Scattered Rain Showers | 79°F / 68°F | 5,238 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 69°F / 65°F | 3,666 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM HST | Isolated Rain Showers | 68°F / 64°F | 3,647 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM HST | Isolated Rain Showers | 69°F / 63°F | 4,121 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM HST | Partly Sunny | 79°F / 65°F | 5,921 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 69°F / 66°F | 3,438 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 68°F / 66°F | 3,192 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM HST | Partly Sunny | 70°F / 66°F | 3,643 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM HST | Mostly Sunny | 81°F / 67°F | 5,917 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 69°F / 67°F | 3,210 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 | 6:00 AM | 6:23 AM | 6:26 PM | 6:48 PM | -12h -57m |
| September 26 | 6:01 AM | 6:23 AM | 6:25 PM | 6:47 PM | -12h -58m |
| September 27 | 6:01 AM | 6:23 AM | 6:24 PM | 6:46 PM | -12h -59m |
| September 28 | 6:01 AM | 6:23 AM | 6:23 PM | 6:45 PM | -12h 0m |
| September 29 | 6:01 AM | 6:24 AM | 6:22 PM | 6:44 PM | -13h -2m |
| September 30 | 6:02 AM | 6:24 AM | 6:21 PM | 6:43 PM | -13h -3m |
| October 1 | 6:02 AM | 6:24 AM | 6:20 PM | 6:42 PM | -13h -4m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 4,026 ft (1,227 m)
- Prominence
- 4,026 ft (1,227 m)
- Coordinates
- 21.5069, -158.1428
- Nearest town
- Mākaha Valley
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.