Colorado mountains

Sunshine Peak mountain forecast

14,006 ft (4,269 m) · prominence 502 ft (153 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 30°F and wind from the NW at 12 mph, a wind chill of 20°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,579 ft, 427 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny then slight chance snow showers, high 44°F at its grid elevation of 13,412 ft.

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The summit on the map

Sunshine Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
14,006 ft (4,269 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,412 ft (4,088 m)
Summit temperature
30°F
Summit wind
NW 12 mph
Freezing level
13,579 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
42°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,412 ft up 594 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT30°FNW 12 mph20°F13,579 ft427 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT29°FNW 8 mph21°F13,376 ft630 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT32°FWNW 2 mph14,062 ft56 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT36°FNW 3 mph33°F14,728 ft722 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT33°FS 4 mph29°F14,416 ft410 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FS 4 mph28°F14,022 ft16 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT33°FSSW 7 mph27°F14,245 ft240 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT35°FSSW 11 mph27°F14,531 ft525 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT30°FSW 26 mph16°F13,258 ft748 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT31°FWSW 13 mph21°F13,415 ft591 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT30°FSSW 11 mph21°F12,874 ft1,132 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT31°FSSW 11 mph22°F13,471 ft535 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,006 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 27°FNW 10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 27. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
SaturdayHigh 44°FNW 5-10 mphA slight chance of snow showers between 3pm and 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday NightLow 29°FWSW 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 29. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
SundayHigh 42°FSSW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday NightLow 31°FSSW 10-15 mphSnow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
MondayHigh 34°FSSW 10 mphSnow showers before noon, then snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
Monday NightLow 29°FSSW 5-15 mphSnow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
TuesdayHigh 33°FSE 5-10 mphSnow showers before noon, then snow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 29°FNE 5-10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 36°FN 5-10 mphRain and snow showers likely before noon, then a chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (37.9228, -107.4228), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,412 ft (4,088 m), 594 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny28°F / 26°F13,877 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny41°F / 26°F16,830 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy40°F / 28°F16,128 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy33°F / 28°F14,569 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny30°F / 26°F14,328 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny40°F / 26°F16,583 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTChance Snow Showers38°F / 24°F16,588 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely33°F / 26°F15,025 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTSnow Showers33°F / 29°F14,342 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSnow Showers31°F / 31°F13,412 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSnow Showers32°F / 31°F13,640 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers33°F / 30°F14,114 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 28: 2.1 in · September 29: 3.7 in · September 30: 1.4 in · October 1: 0.2 in · October 3: 0.1 in. 7.5 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,486 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:35 AM7:01 AM7:02 PM7:28 PM-12h -59m
September 276:36 AM7:02 AM7:00 PM7:26 PM-13h -2m
September 286:37 AM7:03 AM6:59 PM7:25 PM-13h -4m
September 296:37 AM7:04 AM6:57 PM7:23 PM-13h -7m
September 306:38 AM7:05 AM6:56 PM7:22 PM-13h -9m
October 16:39 AM7:05 AM6:54 PM7:20 PM-13h -11m
October 26:40 AM7:06 AM6:52 PM7:19 PM-13h -14m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Sunshine Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,006 ft (4,269 m)
Prominence
502 ft (153 m)
Coordinates
37.9228, -107.4228
Nearest town
Lake City

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.