Colorado mountains

San Luis Peak mountain forecast

14,012 ft (4,271 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 30°F and wind from the WNW at 16 mph, a wind chill of 19°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,750 ft, 262 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 46°F at its grid elevation of 13,051 ft.

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The summit on the map

San Luis Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
14,012 ft (4,271 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,051 ft (3,978 m)
Summit temperature
30°F
Summit wind
WNW 16 mph
Freezing level
13,750 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
43°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,051 ft up 961 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT30°FWNW 16 mph19°F13,750 ft262 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT29°FNW 15 mph17°F13,360 ft653 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT33°FWNW 5 mph28°F14,114 ft102 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT36°FNW 3 mph34°F14,787 ft774 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT34°FSW 5 mph29°F14,518 ft505 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FS 7 mph25°F14,180 ft167 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT34°FSSW 9 mph27°F14,347 ft335 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT35°FSSW 10 mph28°F14,656 ft643 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT30°FSW 29 mph15°F13,169 ft843 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT31°FWSW 16 mph20°F13,333 ft679 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT31°FSSW 15 mph20°F13,107 ft906 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT31°FSW 12 mph21°F13,540 ft472 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,012 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 31°FNW 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
SaturdayHigh 46°FWNW 5-10 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 46. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday NightLow 33°FSSW 0-5 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 33. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
SundayHigh 46°FSSW 5-15 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 46. South southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
Sunday NightLow 33°FSSW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
MondayHigh 38°FSW 10-15 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers between noon and 3pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 31°FSSW 10-15 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers before 9pm, then rain and snow showers between 9pm and midnight, then snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 36°FSE 10 mphSnow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 29°FNE 10 mphSnow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 39°FN 15 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. North wind around 15 mph. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (37.9867, -106.9314), by its office in Pueblo, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,051 ft (3,978 m), 961 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny32°F / 27°F14,190 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny42°F / 28°F16,259 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy43°F / 30°F16,008 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy35°F / 29°F14,432 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTPartly Sunny34°F / 28°F14,413 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy43°F / 24°F17,375 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy42°F / 26°F16,715 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers33°F / 27°F14,436 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely33°F / 30°F13,753 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms35°F / 32°F13,748 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms37°F / 33°F13,971 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers34°F / 33°F13,274 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 28: 0.2 in · September 29: 3.1 in · September 30: 1.9 in · October 1: 0.2 in. 5.4 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,329 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:33 AM6:59 AM7:00 PM7:26 PM-12h -59m
September 276:34 AM7:00 AM6:58 PM7:24 PM-13h -2m
September 286:35 AM7:01 AM6:57 PM7:23 PM-13h -4m
September 296:36 AM7:02 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -7m
September 306:36 AM7:03 AM6:54 PM7:20 PM-13h -9m
October 16:37 AM7:04 AM6:52 PM7:18 PM-13h -12m
October 26:38 AM7:04 AM6:50 PM7:17 PM-13h -14m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

San Luis Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,012 ft (4,271 m)
Coordinates
37.9867, -106.9314
Nearest town
Creede

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.