Ugashik-Peulik mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 31°F and wind from the S at 14 mph, a wind chill of 21°F, Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT. The freezing level is at 4,741 ft, 95 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for this afternoon: rain showers, high 44°F at its grid elevation of 2,480 ft.
The summit on the map
Ugashik-Peulik and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Ugashik-Peulik
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 4,836 ft (1,474 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 2,480 ft (756 m)
- Summit temperature
- 31°F
- Summit wind
- S 14 mph
- Freezing level
- 4,741 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 36°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 2,480 ft up 2,356 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 31°F | S 14 mph | 21°F | 4,741 ft | 95 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 30°F | SW 21 mph | 17°F | 4,285 ft | 551 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 30°F | SW 19 mph | 17°F | 4,140 ft | 696 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 29°F | SW 12 mph | 19°F | 3,855 ft | 981 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | 29°F | SSW 7 mph | 22°F | 4,058 ft | 778 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | 29°F | N 13 mph | 18°F | 3,848 ft | 988 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | 30°F | NNW 20 mph | 17°F | 4,055 ft | 781 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | 30°F | NNW 24 mph | 16°F | 4,229 ft | 607 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | 30°F | NNW 24 mph | 17°F | 4,350 ft | 486 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | 30°F | NNW 25 mph | 16°F | 4,357 ft | 479 ft below the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | 30°F | NW 27 mph | 15°F | 4,190 ft | 646 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT, interpolated to 4,836 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| This Afternoon | High 44°F | S 10-15 mph | Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 44. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Tonight | Low 37°F | SW 15 mph | Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Sunday | High 40°F | SW 15-20 mph | Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Sunday Night | Low 36°F | W 15-20 mph | Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Monday | High 40°F | NW 15-25 mph | A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Northwest wind 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Monday Night | Low 31°F | NW 20-25 mph | A chance of rain showers before 4am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 20 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Tuesday | High 35°F | NW 15-20 mph | A chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a chance of snow between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 29°F | NW 5-15 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Wednesday | High 35°F | W 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Wednesday Night | Low 30°F | NE 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (57.7510, -156.3680), by its office in Anchorage West. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 2,480 ft (756 m), 2,356 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Rain Showers | 41°F / 41°F | 2,480 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Rain Showers Likely | 39°F / 39°F | 2,485 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Rain Showers Likely | 38°F / 38°F | 2,480 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Rain Showers | 37°F / 37°F | 2,489 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Rain Showers | 39°F / 39°F | 2,485 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Rain Showers Likely | 38°F / 38°F | 2,480 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Rain Showers | 37°F / 36°F | 2,717 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Rain Showers | 36°F / 35°F | 2,699 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Rain Showers | 40°F / 39°F | 2,690 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Rain Showers | 38°F / 38°F | 2,480 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Rain And Snow Showers | 35°F / 32°F | 3,177 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Tue, Sep 29, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 31°F / 30°F | 2,690 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 30: 0.1 in · October 2: 0.1 in. 0.2 inches in all.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 7:41 AM | 8:20 AM | 8:13 PM | 8:51 PM | 11h 53m |
| September 27 | 7:43 AM | 8:22 AM | 8:10 PM | 8:48 PM | 11h 48m |
| September 28 | 7:45 AM | 8:24 AM | 8:07 PM | 8:46 PM | 11h 43m |
| September 29 | 7:47 AM | 8:26 AM | 8:04 PM | 8:43 PM | 11h 38m |
| September 30 | 7:49 AM | 8:28 AM | 8:01 PM | 8:40 PM | 11h 33m |
| October 1 | 7:51 AM | 8:30 AM | 7:59 PM | 8:37 PM | 11h 29m |
| October 2 | 7:54 AM | 8:32 AM | 7:56 PM | 8:34 PM | 11h 24m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 4,836 ft (1,474 m)
- Coordinates
- 57.7510, -156.3680
- Nearest town
- Naknek
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.