Mount Chiginagak mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 26°F and wind from the SW at 13 mph, a wind chill of 14°F, Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT. The freezing level is at 4,925 ft, 2,077 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: snow showers, high 38°F at its grid elevation of 4,396 ft.
The summit on the map
Mount Chiginagak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Chiginagak
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 7,001 ft (2,134 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 4,396 ft (1,340 m)
- Summit temperature
- 26°F
- Summit wind
- SW 13 mph
- Freezing level
- 4,925 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 29°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 4,396 ft up 2,605 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT | 26°F | SW 13 mph | 14°F | 4,925 ft | 2,077 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | 29°F | SSW 31 mph | 13°F | 5,768 ft | 1,234 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | 23°F | SSW 21 mph | 8°F | 4,364 ft | 2,638 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | SW 22 mph | 8°F | 4,715 ft | 2,287 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 24°F | WSW 20 mph | 10°F | 4,662 ft | 2,339 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 22°F | SW 19 mph | 7°F | 4,186 ft | 2,815 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 22°F | W 26 mph | 5°F | 3,930 ft | 3,071 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | 22°F | W 34 mph | 3°F | 4,170 ft | 2,831 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | NW 27 mph | 6°F | 4,068 ft | 2,933 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | 22°F | NW 27 mph | 4°F | 3,704 ft | 3,297 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | 22°F | NNW 24 mph | 6°F | 3,888 ft | 3,114 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | NNW 21 mph | 8°F | 4,180 ft | 2,822 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 7,001 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | Low 34°F | S 15-30 mph | Rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 15 to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Saturday | High 38°F | SW 15-30 mph | Rain showers before 7am, then snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Southwest wind 15 to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Saturday Night | Low 31°F | SW 10-15 mph | Snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Sunday | High 34°F | W 10-20 mph | Snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 34. West wind 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Sunday Night | Low 30°F | W 15-20 mph | Snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. |
| Monday | High 32°F | NW 15-25 mph | Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Monday Night | Low 26°F | NW 25 mph | Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tuesday | High 28°F | NW 15-25 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 23°F | W 5-15 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Wednesday | High 28°F | W 5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (57.1336, -156.9914), by its office in Anchorage West. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 4,396 ft (1,340 m), 2,605 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Rain Showers | 38°F / 37°F | 4,610 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | Snow Showers | 35°F / 35°F | 4,410 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers | 36°F / 36°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers | 33°F / 33°F | 4,414 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Snow Showers Likely | 31°F / 31°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Snow Showers | 32°F / 32°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers | 34°F / 34°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers | 32°F / 32°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Snow Showers Likely | 31°F / 31°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Snow Showers Likely | 31°F / 31°F | 4,396 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers Likely | 32°F / 31°F | 4,624 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Snow Showers Likely | 29°F / 28°F | 4,610 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 26: 0.2 in · September 27: 2.7 in · September 28: 3.5 in · September 29: 0.5 in · September 30: 0.2 in · October 1: 3.4 in · October 2: 2.0 in. 12.5 inches in all.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 | 7:44 AM | 8:22 AM | 8:18 PM | 8:56 PM | -13h -4m |
| September 26 | 7:46 AM | 8:24 AM | 8:15 PM | 8:53 PM | -13h -9m |
| September 27 | 7:48 AM | 8:26 AM | 8:12 PM | 8:50 PM | -13h -14m |
| September 28 | 7:50 AM | 8:28 AM | 8:10 PM | 8:48 PM | -13h -18m |
| September 29 | 7:52 AM | 8:30 AM | 8:07 PM | 8:45 PM | -13h -23m |
| September 30 | 7:54 AM | 8:32 AM | 8:04 PM | 8:42 PM | -13h -28m |
| October 1 | 7:56 AM | 8:34 AM | 8:01 PM | 8:40 PM | -13h -33m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 7,001 ft (2,134 m)
- Prominence
- 6,677 ft (2,035 m)
- Coordinates
- 57.1336, -156.9914
- Nearest town
- Naknek
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.