Alert archive / Virginia / Stafford County
Weather alerts in Stafford County, Virginia, 2025
138 weather alerts in 2025, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Stafford County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2025. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 138
- Warnings
- 36
- Watches
- 34
- Advisories
- 23
- Busiest month
- June38 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 5, 20257 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Stafford County in 2025 had a tornado report inside them.
Stafford County, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 19 | 15 | 21% | 6 | 100% | 24 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 4 | 4 | 0% | 1 | 100% | 104 min |
Each office's whole area, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 35 | 4 | 89% | 7 | 71% | 4 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 379 | 272 | 28% | 989 | 84% | 19 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 143 | 91 | 36% | 251 | 93% | 66 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 3:28 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Jan 4, 3:54 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 62 hr |
| Jan 6, 2:12 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jan 9, 1:18 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 54 hr |
| Jan 20, 11:01 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 59 min |
| Jan 20, 1:42 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | LWX | 45 hr |
| Feb 4, 2:49 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 45 hr |
| Feb 9, 3:09 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Feb 10, 2:48 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 52 hr |
| Feb 11, 2:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 12, 6:33 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 4 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:07 PM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 46 hr |
| Feb 16, 12:55 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:40 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 43 hr |
| Feb 19, 12:39 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 47 hr |
| Mar 1, 3:05 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | LWX | 16 hr |
| Mar 4, 2:34 AM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 36 hr |
| Mar 5, 10:27 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 5, 12:26 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 34 min |
| Mar 16, 4:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Mar 16, 6:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Mar 31, 2:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Apr 8, 3:38 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | LWX | 29 hr |
| Apr 14, 5:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Apr 14, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 14, 8:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Apr 16, 3:33 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | LWX | 29 hr |
| Apr 26, 2:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| May 3, 2:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| May 3, 4:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 5, 2:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| May 5, 5:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 5, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| May 5, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 5, 6:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 28 min |
| May 5, 6:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| May 5, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| May 8, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 34 min |
| May 12, 3:10 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 47 hr |
| May 14, 4:35 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LWX | 30 hr |
| May 14, 11:38 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 12 hr |
| May 16, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 16, 4:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 29, 8:31 PM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 27 hr |
| May 30, 3:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| May 30, 5:01 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 30, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 32 min |
| May 30, 6:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 6, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 22 min |
| Jun 6, 5:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 7, 7:57 PM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 26 hr |
| Jun 8, 12:45 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | 30 min |
| Jun 8, 1:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Jun 8, 2:26 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 8, 4:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 8, 7:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 13, 3:45 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 20 hr |
| Jun 13, 4:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 2:12 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 21 hr |
| Jun 14, 8:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 14, 9:59 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 10:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 59 min |
| Jun 14, 10:48 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Jun 15, 12:56 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 12:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 19, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 3:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 19, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 25 min |
| Jun 19, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 63 min |
| Jun 19, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Jun 21, 2:44 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Jun 22, 2:21 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Watch | LWX | 19 hr |
| Jun 22, 2:21 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Warning | LWX | 31 hr |
| Jun 23, 9:37 AM EDT | Extreme Heat Warning | LWX | 35 hr |
| Jun 23, 8:53 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Watch | LWX | 17 hr |
| Jun 24, 2:06 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 27 hr |
| Jun 25, 1:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 25, 1:51 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 29 hr |
| Jun 26, 11:25 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 13 hr |
| Jun 26, 1:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 2:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 26, 10:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| Jun 26, 10:28 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 1:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 11:48 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jul 1, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jul 1, 1:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 3:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 1, 5:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 12:31 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 30 hr |
| Jul 8, 12:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 8, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 8, 3:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 8, 6:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 8, 8:44 PM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Jul 9, 12:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 9, 2:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 3:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 9, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 25 min |
| Jul 9, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Jul 13, 11:37 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 10 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:36 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 20 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:39 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 27 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Jul 16, 9:17 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Jul 16, 11:24 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 23 hr |
| Jul 18, 3:32 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 20 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:50 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 16 hr |
| Jul 19, 1:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 19, 6:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jul 24, 1:23 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 43 hr |
| Jul 26, 7:43 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 11 hr |
| Jul 26, 2:41 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 26 hr |
| Jul 27, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 29, 1:53 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 29 hr |
| Jul 30, 2:43 PM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 28 hr |
| Jul 31, 1:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 31, 4:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Sep 4, 1:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 4, 5:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Sep 6, 1:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 19, 7:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Oct 23, 2:04 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | LWX | 31 hr |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | LWX | 21 hr |
| Nov 6, 12:05 PM EST | Frost Advisory | LWX | 20 hr |
| Nov 7, 12:10 AM EST | Freeze Warning | LWX | 8 hr |
| Nov 15, 12:14 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | LWX | 12 hr |
| Nov 16, 12:05 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | LWX | 18 hr |
| Dec 4, 1:56 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 34 hr |
| Dec 5, 12:48 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 18 hr |
| Dec 6, 7:15 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | LWX | 17 hr |
| Dec 7, 8:08 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | LWX | 8 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20242026
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.