Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Elk County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Elk County, Pennsylvania

418 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Elk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
418
Busiest year
202646 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
10over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 90% of hail, wind and damage reports in Elk County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 29 minutes before, and 34% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200812375%367%15 min
20097271%367%52 min
201019953%2100%17 min
201113838%1100%26 min
2012201715%888%24 min
2013261831%11100%30 min
2014181044%5100%28 min
2015141214%11100%22 min
20169722%2100%14 min
201714936%1292%28 min
201812118%1392%51 min
2019161038%1173%22 min
202010730%580%16 min
2021141029%989%18 min
2022770%978%44 min
20236517%2100%30 min
202410550%7100%21 min
202510730%6100%32 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 3, 12:23 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP61 min
Sep 2, 11:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP41 min
Sep 2, 11:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP66 min
Sep 2, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP43 min
Sep 2, 9:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP50 min
Sep 2, 9:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP42 min
Sep 2, 8:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCTP39 min
Sep 2, 8:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP80 min
Sep 1, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP48 min
Aug 22, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP52 min
Aug 22, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCTP38 min
Aug 22, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP43 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.