Alert archive / North Dakota / Cavalier County

Weather alerts in Cavalier County, North Dakota, 2010

135 weather alerts in 2010, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Cavalier County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2010. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
135
Warnings
35
Watches
29
Advisories
51
Busiest month
July25 alerts
Busiest day
July 27, 20107 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

1 of 3 tornado warnings covering Cavalier County in 2010 had a tornado report inside them.

Cavalier County, 2010

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings3167%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings13931%863%27 min
Flash flood warnings3233%0

Each office's whole area, 2010

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Grand Forks, ND: tornado warnings1164462%11289%25 min
NWS Grand Forks, ND: severe thunderstorm warnings16810140%21262%22 min
NWS Grand Forks, ND: flash flood warnings292321%3987%113 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 1, 2:53 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF42 hr
Jan 5, 4:07 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF56 hr
Jan 7, 4:35 AM CSTWind Chill WarningFGF31 hr
Jan 7, 4:35 AM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF11 hr
Jan 8, 3:22 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF23 hr
Jan 11, 9:38 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF2 hr
Jan 20, 2:41 PM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF45 hr
Jan 22, 4:43 AM CSTWinter Storm WarningFGF3 days
Jan 22, 4:43 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF7 hr
Jan 23, 9:49 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF66 hr
Jan 25, 4:19 AM CSTBlizzard WarningFGF17 hr
Jan 26, 4:08 AM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF7 hr
Jan 26, 2:59 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF20 hr
Jan 27, 3:06 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF21 hr
Jan 30, 3:24 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF6 hr
Feb 5, 3:21 PM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF25 hr
Feb 6, 3:52 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF50 hr
Feb 12, 3:22 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF48 hr
Feb 23, 3:18 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF19 hr
Mar 5, 9:00 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF4 hr
Mar 5, 11:23 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF13 hr
Mar 6, 11:33 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF10 hr
Mar 8, 7:18 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF17 hr
Mar 13, 3:53 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF6 hr
Mar 13, 7:14 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF14 hr
Mar 16, 2:47 PM CDTFlood WatchFGF3 days
Apr 2, 10:31 AM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF14 hr
Apr 9, 3:34 PM CDTFire Weather WatchFGF13 hr
Apr 10, 4:25 AM CDTRed Flag WarningFGF17 hr
Apr 10, 10:15 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF11 hr
Apr 12, 10:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 13, 1:50 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF20 hr
Apr 27, 3:18 PM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF30 hr
Apr 27, 3:47 PM CDTRed Flag WarningFGF28 hr
May 5, 4:31 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF8 hr
May 7, 2:55 PM CDTFrost AdvisoryFGF18 hr
May 7, 9:24 PM CDTFreeze WarningFGF12 hr
May 8, 3:56 AM CDTFreeze WarningFGF28 hr
May 22, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
May 24, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
May 24, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF55 min
May 25, 3:51 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF14 hr
May 25, 9:46 AM CDTHigh Wind WarningFGF8 hr
May 29, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC25 min
May 29, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 29, 7:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jun 8, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Jun 8, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF52 min
Jun 8, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF61 min
Jun 16, 6:55 PM CDTHigh Wind WatchFGF16 hr
Jun 17, 12:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Jun 17, 12:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr
Jun 17, 4:52 PM CDTTornado WarningFGF53 min
Jun 17, 11:06 PM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF20 hr
Jun 21, 4:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchFGF26 hr
Jun 21, 5:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGF9 hr
Jun 24, 1:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF45 min
Jun 24, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jun 24, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jun 24, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 25, 1:50 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGF6 hr
Jun 26, 2:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jun 26, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 26, 5:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 3, 4:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF37 min
Jul 3, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 3, 8:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 5, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC54 min
Jul 10, 2:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jul 13, 1:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr
Jul 13, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF42 min
Jul 13, 10:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC24 min
Jul 13, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 14, 3:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jul 14, 4:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF59 min
Jul 15, 9:30 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF11 hr
Jul 23, 11:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGF10 hr
Jul 26, 2:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchFGF12 hr
Jul 26, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 26, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF58 min
Jul 26, 8:55 PM CDTTornado WarningFGF65 min
Jul 26, 9:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jul 26, 9:10 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGF6 hr
Jul 26, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF58 min
Jul 26, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 31, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF41 min
Jul 31, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 31, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF39 min
Jul 31, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 31, 9:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 1, 6:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Aug 1, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF53 min
Aug 1, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningFGF65 min
Aug 10, 2:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Aug 10, 3:47 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGF97 min
Aug 10, 4:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGF16 hr
Aug 12, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 12, 2:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 20, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGF60 min
Aug 21, 9:14 PM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF24 hr
Aug 24, 3:30 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF16 hr
Aug 30, 1:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Sep 2, 3:13 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF16 hr
Sep 17, 3:51 PM CDTFreeze WarningFGF16 hr
Sep 28, 5:33 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF6 hr
Oct 1, 4:17 AM CDTFreeze WatchFGF10 hr
Oct 1, 2:43 PM CDTFreeze WarningFGF18 hr
Oct 20, 4:22 AM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF14 hr
Oct 24, 10:12 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF105 min
Oct 25, 10:18 AM CDTHigh Wind WatchFGF18 hr
Oct 25, 2:58 PM CDTHigh Wind WarningFGF43 hr
Oct 25, 3:10 PM CDTWinter Storm WatchFGF23 hr
Oct 26, 5:04 AM CDTBlizzard WarningFGF33 hr
Oct 26, 2:35 PM CDTWinter Storm WarningFGF24 hr
Oct 27, 2:31 PM CDTWind AdvisoryFGF10 hr
Nov 18, 2:36 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF13 hr
Nov 19, 5:24 AM CSTWind AdvisoryFGF7 hr
Nov 20, 4:15 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF35 hr
Nov 22, 4:17 AM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF35 hr
Nov 23, 3:15 PM CSTBlizzard WatchFGF24 hr
Nov 23, 3:15 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningFGF44 hr
Nov 23, 3:15 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF44 hr
Nov 25, 11:30 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF4 hr
Nov 29, 4:39 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF40 hr
Dec 2, 3:24 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF37 hr
Dec 6, 8:53 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryFGF3 hr
Dec 10, 4:09 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryFGF17 hr
Dec 14, 3:13 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF42 hr
Dec 15, 12:54 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningFGF20 hr
Dec 19, 4:13 AM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF24 hr
Dec 20, 4:11 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF26 hr
Dec 28, 5:19 AM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF35 hr
Dec 29, 3:50 PM CSTWinter Storm WatchFGF37 hr
Dec 29, 3:50 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningFGF36 hr
Dec 29, 3:50 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGF50 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20092011

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.