Alert archive / New York

Weather alerts in Montgomery County, New York

3,390 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Montgomery County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,390
Warnings
812
Watches
482
Advisories
804
Busiest year
2011237 alerts
Average year
83over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 17% of tornado reports in Montgomery County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 0 minutes before, and 77% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2010020%
20112150%20%
2013110%1100%0 min
201420100%0
201530100%0
201710100%0
201910100%0
2020010%
202310100%0
20242150%0
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008261350%560%28 min
200914936%7100%17 min
2010201145%2100%27 min
2011322328%1392%27 min
201210820%875%38 min
2013221818%683%22 min
2014151220%3187%30 min
20157614%1450%7 min
201611736%560%45 min
201723219%1669%21 min
2018141029%7100%25 min
2019231822%2383%35 min
2020151033%1974%34 min
2021201715%1878%12 min
202211918%1242%14 min
2023161225%1979%28 min
20249722%14100%23 min
2025330%5100%7 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008220%3100%37 min
20092150%1100%80 min
20104325%1100%116 min
20115340%0
2013660%7100%282 min
20144325%13100%55 min
2015010%
2016110%0
2017110%1100%40 min
2020010%
2021330%3100%108 min
202310100%0
2024110%0

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 6, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY55 min
Jul 29, 2:07 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningALY19 hr
Jul 29, 8:52 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningALY6 hr
Jul 1, 8:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY47 min
Jul 1, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY51 min
Jul 1, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY40 min
Jul 1, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY50 min
Jun 30, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY61 min
Jun 30, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY60 min
Jun 30, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY53 min
Jun 30, 12:31 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningALY3 days
Jun 18, 1:29 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALY3 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.