Alert archive / New Jersey / Morris County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Morris County, New Jersey

542 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Morris County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
542
Busiest year
201950 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
14over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 85% of hail, wind and damage reports in Morris County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 24 minutes before, and 29% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008201050%3100%24 min
200910460%3100%10 min
2010161131%560%28 min
2011302130%1191%27 min
2012272219%7100%29 min
201312742%875%20 min
201414936%4100%30 min
20156267%10%
2016161225%1479%17 min
201712925%2100%17 min
201811736%1681%29 min
2019504216%4493%31 min
2020292610%5088%14 min
2021363017%3683%26 min
20227443%1080%32 min
2023331942%3266%18 min
2024311745%12100%25 min
202513128%12100%27 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 1, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI38 min
Aug 10, 4:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI43 min
Aug 7, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI55 min
Aug 7, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI54 min
Jul 28, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI25 min
Jul 28, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI23 min
Jul 28, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI49 min
Jul 28, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI45 min
Jul 28, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI44 min
Jul 21, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI53 min
Jul 15, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI31 min
Jul 15, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI25 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.