Alert archive / Nebraska / Arthur County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arthur County, Nebraska

579 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Arthur County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
579
Busiest year
200939 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
14over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 86% of hail, wind and damage reports in Arthur County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 20 minutes before, and 47% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200819668%1100%18 min
2009391854%8100%19 min
2010231343%978%25 min
2011221532%1283%32 min
201212742%3100%3 min
2013201050%3100%16 min
201416850%1100%13 min
2015201430%863%25 min
2016251444%989%13 min
201710730%3100%9 min
2018301937%7100%20 min
2019221150%333%30 min
202022959%475%17 min
2021161038%786%17 min
2022181328%3100%22 min
2023321650%2100%26 min
202417476%4100%26 min
202519953%0

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 17, 8:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF53 min
Sep 17, 8:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF49 min
Sep 17, 5:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF42 min
Sep 6, 12:32 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatLBF43 min
Sep 6, 12:11 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBF49 min
Sep 5, 11:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF38 min
Aug 27, 7:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF47 min
Aug 27, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF36 min
Aug 27, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBF64 min
Aug 24, 3:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF38 min
Aug 12, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF63 min
Jul 2, 3:40 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBF50 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.