Alert archive / Montana / Musselshell County

Weather alerts in Musselshell County, Montana, 2015

59 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Musselshell County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
59
Warnings
13
Watches
11
Advisories
5
Busiest month
June19 alerts
Busiest day
June 1, 20154 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Musselshell County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings110%0
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Billings, MT: tornado warnings30100%0
NWS Billings, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings915836%16971%23 min
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings11555%3057%50 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 3, 2:57 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryBYZ4 days
Jan 4, 4:21 AM MSTWinter Storm WarningBYZ71 hr
Feb 11, 7:31 AM MSTDense Fog AdvisoryBYZ3 hr
Mar 2, 3:43 AM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryBYZ30 hr
Mar 13, 2:25 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ30 hr
Mar 27, 3:15 AM MDTHigh Wind WatchBYZ24 hr
Mar 27, 3:17 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ9 hr
Mar 27, 12:45 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ32 hr
Mar 28, 3:09 AM MDTHigh Wind WarningBYZ19 hr
Mar 30, 3:42 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ9 hr
Mar 30, 12:30 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ56 hr
Apr 11, 4:03 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ40 hr
Apr 13, 4:01 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ10 hr
Apr 13, 2:20 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ31 hr
May 30, 2:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 30, 4:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ37 min
May 30, 4:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ44 min
May 31, 4:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
May 31, 10:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ58 min
Jun 1, 1:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jun 1, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 1, 4:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jun 1, 6:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Jun 2, 6:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ63 min
Jun 5, 3:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 5, 4:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 5, 6:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ64 min
Jun 5, 6:41 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 5, 8:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Jun 9, 7:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 17, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 17, 4:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ66 min
Jun 18, 3:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 19, 2:04 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jun 19, 2:51 PM MDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 21, 1:28 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 24, 1:50 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ55 min
Jul 1, 1:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 1, 4:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ64 min
Jul 1, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZ55 min
Jul 1, 6:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ28 min
Jul 16, 7:09 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jul 27, 1:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 27, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 27, 3:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ54 min
Jul 27, 3:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ64 min
Aug 5, 7:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ46 min
Aug 28, 3:27 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ11 hr
Aug 28, 2:56 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ56 hr
Oct 10, 2:43 PM MDTHigh Wind WarningBYZ30 hr
Oct 11, 3:14 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ17 hr
Nov 16, 3:53 AM MSTHigh Wind WatchBYZ24 hr
Nov 17, 3:39 AM MSTHigh Wind WarningBYZ39 hr
Nov 23, 2:57 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryBYZ66 hr
Dec 9, 3:46 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ119 min
Dec 12, 2:06 PM MSTWinter Storm WatchBYZ49 hr
Dec 13, 1:49 PM MSTWinter Storm WarningBYZ56 hr
Dec 19, 10:48 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementBYZ4 hr
Dec 29, 7:23 AM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryBYZ11 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.