Alert archive / Montana / Madison County

Weather alerts in Madison County, Montana, 2015

35 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Madison County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
35
Warnings
12
Watches
10
Advisories
0
Busiest month
August11 alerts
Busiest day
June 1, 20156 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Madison County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings020%
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Glasgow, MT: tornado warnings010%
NWS Glasgow, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings653940%8672%24 min
NWS Glasgow, MT: flash flood warnings30100%40%
NWS Missoula, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings19858%1867%14 min
NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings10100%30%
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings60100%0
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings20670%3926%23 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings10100%10%
NWS Billings, MT: tornado warnings30100%0
NWS Billings, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings915836%16971%23 min
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings11555%3057%50 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 13, 2:25 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ30 hr
Mar 27, 3:17 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ9 hr
Mar 27, 12:45 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ32 hr
Mar 30, 3:42 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ9 hr
Mar 30, 12:30 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ56 hr
Apr 11, 4:03 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ40 hr
Apr 13, 4:01 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ10 hr
Apr 13, 2:20 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ31 hr
May 31, 4:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 1, 12:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 1, 1:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jun 1, 2:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX45 min
Jun 1, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 1, 2:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX40 min
Jun 1, 4:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jun 16, 11:23 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 29, 3:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX88 min
Jul 15, 7:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX59 min
Aug 14, 8:49 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX41 min
Aug 14, 1:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 14, 2:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 19, 2:18 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 20, 2:28 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Aug 27, 1:24 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO21 hr
Aug 27, 3:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX56 min
Aug 28, 3:27 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ11 hr
Aug 28, 10:33 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO34 hr
Aug 28, 2:56 PM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ56 hr
Aug 30, 6:20 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX85 min
Sep 1, 3:10 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ42 hr
Sep 1, 3:44 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO7 hr
Sep 1, 10:47 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO34 hr
Sep 13, 3:42 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ17 hr
Sep 24, 3:34 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBYZ24 hr
Oct 11, 3:14 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBYZ17 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.