Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2022

11 flash flood warnings in 2022. An alert counts here when it covered any part of the state, so the counties below add up to more than the state. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Flash Flood Warnings by county

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2022. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
11
Busiest month
July7 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
July 7, 20224 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

4 of 11 flash flood warnings covering Montana in 2022 had a flash flood report inside them; 7 of 13 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 53 minutes after it went out.

Montana, 2022

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings11464%1354%53 min

Each office's whole area, 2022

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings030%
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings3167%540%30 min
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings8363%5100%62 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 7:23 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTFXLewis and Clark104 min
Jul 3, 10:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZFallon3 hr
Jul 6, 6:59 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZRosebud3 hr
Jul 6, 7:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Musselshell5 hr
Jul 6, 8:02 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZMusselshell3 hr
Jul 7, 5:39 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Sweet Grass, Wheatland3 hr
Jul 24, 6:40 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZStillwater, Yellowstone3 hr
Aug 22, 7:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone80 min
Aug 24, 10:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBroadwater, Meagher92 min
Aug 25, 2:35 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZMusselshell3 hr
Aug 25, 5:02 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXLewis and Clark, Pondera, Teton3 hr

By county

Every county with at least one alert. A county page lists each alert that covered it.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordThe radar archive20212023

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.