Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2010

24 flash flood warnings in 2010. An alert counts here when it covered any part of the state, so the counties below add up to more than the state. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Flash Flood Warnings by county

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2010. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
24
Busiest month
June15 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
June 20, 20103 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

3 of 24 flash flood warnings covering Montana in 2010 had a flash flood report inside them; 3 of 14 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 122 minutes after it went out.

Montana, 2010

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings24388%1421%122 min

Each office's whole area, 2010

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings70100%20%
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings2150%1100%106 min
NWS Glasgow, MT: flash flood warnings20100%50%
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings17382%850%73 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:34 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCuster, Powder River, Rosebud2 hr
May 29, 1:07 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, Prairie, Wibaux4 hr
Jun 10, 4:38 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZBig Horn, Carbon83 min
Jun 10, 5:52 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarbon113 min
Jun 15, 7:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZBig Horn2 hr
Jun 16, 11:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZFallon6 hr
Jun 17, 12:04 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter5 hr
Jun 20, 2:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSOSilver Bow60 min
Jun 20, 3:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin115 min
Jun 20, 4:56 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone3 hr
Jun 20, 6:52 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone3 hr
Jun 20, 7:55 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter3 hr
Jun 20, 9:05 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter5 hr
Jun 21, 8:15 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter, Powder River6 hr
Jun 22, 2:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZBig Horn3 hr
Jun 22, 5:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter3 hr
Jun 25, 4:15 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter3 hr
Jul 28, 8:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWValley2 hr
Aug 2, 7:38 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSOLake, Sanders77 min
Aug 5, 6:22 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSOGranite99 min
Aug 5, 11:00 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZSweet Grass4 hr
Aug 9, 3:34 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone61 min
Aug 9, 4:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSOGranite87 min
Aug 11, 4:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXTeton2 hr

By county

Every county with at least one alert. A county page lists each alert that covered it.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordThe radar archive20092011

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.