Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Carter County, Montana

661 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Carter County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 661
Busiest year: 202553 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year: 17over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 78% of hail, wind and damage reports in Carter County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 30 minutes before, and 59% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
2008	28	10	64%	14	79%	32 min
2009	18	6	67%	8	63%	17 min
2010	27	12	56%	22	64%	32 min
2011	35	16	54%	22	77%	24 min
2012	13	5	62%	4	100%	22 min
2013	25	16	36%	19	84%	30 min
2014	31	14	55%	16	75%	22 min
2015	21	14	33%	6	83%	43 min
2016	10	5	50%	7	43%	32 min
2017	4	3	25%	9	78%	44 min
2018	36	16	56%	19	89%	37 min
2019	32	12	63%	9	89%	26 min
2020	24	13	46%	16	81%	32 min
2021	3	2	33%	3	33%	23 min
2022	22	6	73%	7	100%	39 min
2023	20	2	90%	3	67%	15 min
2024	14	4	71%	7	86%	13 min
2025	53	16	70%	11	82%	41 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 6, 5:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	27 min
Aug 30, 2:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BYZ	37 min
Aug 17, 6:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	49 min
Aug 11, 5:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	32 min
Aug 11, 4:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BYZ	41 min
Aug 11, 3:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BYZ	56 min
Jul 29, 3:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	33 min
Jul 29, 1:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	29 min
Jul 18, 6:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BYZ	39 min
Jul 5, 4:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	14 min
Jul 2, 5:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	38 min
Jul 2, 5:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	31 min

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.