Alert archive / Missouri / Montgomery County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montgomery County, Missouri

508 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Montgomery County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
508
Busiest year
201151 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
13over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 76% of hail, wind and damage reports in Montgomery County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 20 minutes before, and 48% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008411076%650%20 min
200915473%3100%21 min
201022768%367%18 min
2011523631%3762%25 min
2012201050%3100%9 min
201315660%1100%20 min
2014221532%1493%22 min
201514843%1136%11 min
2016151220%978%33 min
201711645%2100%14 min
201817759%6100%17 min
201915847%2100%36 min
202010640%333%17 min
2021181328%450%19 min
202215660%5100%13 min
2023271737%1593%13 min
2024201145%1191%18 min
20258275%4100%29 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 12, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX39 min
Jul 10, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLSX75 min
Jul 5, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX25 min
Jun 11, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX34 min
Jun 1, 4:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX52 min
Jun 1, 4:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX38 min
May 3, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX30 min
Apr 27, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX63 min
Apr 27, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX40 min
Apr 17, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX52 min
Apr 17, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX48 min
Mar 11, 2:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX49 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.