Alert archive / Kentucky / Estill County
Weather alerts in Estill County, Kentucky, 2020
137 weather alerts in 2020, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Estill County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2020. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 137
- Warnings
- 31
- Watches
- 19
- Advisories
- 60
- Busiest month
- May32 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 18, 20207 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Estill County, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 13 | 11 | 15% | 3 | 100% | 8 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Jackson, KY: tornado warnings | 5 | 0 | 100% | 1 | 0% | |
| NWS Jackson, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 91 | 51 | 44% | 155 | 72% | 17 min |
| NWS Jackson, KY: flash flood warnings | 37 | 19 | 49% | 54 | 74% | 47 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 7:01 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 13 hr |
| Jan 6, 11:50 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| Jan 10, 3:36 PM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 29 hr |
| Jan 11, 9:36 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jan 11, 12:35 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jan 11, 1:26 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 34 min |
| Jan 11, 1:37 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 23 min |
| Jan 11, 8:38 PM EST | High Wind Warning | JKL | 4 hr |
| Jan 12, 1:37 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Jan 15, 12:25 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
| Jan 17, 9:36 PM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Feb 4, 4:07 PM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 45 hr |
| Feb 5, 11:25 AM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 4 days |
| Feb 6, 3:14 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 22 hr |
| Feb 9, 6:06 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 22 hr |
| Feb 10, 2:31 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 days |
| Feb 10, 6:34 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 5 days |
| Feb 10, 9:15 PM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 5 days |
| Feb 11, 11:37 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 43 hr |
| Feb 11, 10:52 PM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 68 hr |
| Feb 12, 8:43 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 9 hr |
| Feb 27, 3:39 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 39 hr |
| Mar 3, 6:15 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 39 hr |
| Mar 12, 10:56 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 16 hr |
| Mar 13, 12:21 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 114 min |
| Mar 13, 2:19 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 56 min |
| Mar 13, 10:17 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 5 days |
| Mar 13, 9:45 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 33 hr |
| Mar 19, 11:44 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| Mar 20, 6:21 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 114 min |
| Mar 20, 8:10 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 110 min |
| Mar 20, 11:05 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 47 hr |
| Mar 22, 10:10 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 48 hr |
| Mar 25, 4:31 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 days |
| Mar 29, 11:08 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Apr 1, 9:08 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 26 hr |
| Apr 8, 5:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 30 min |
| Apr 8, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 25 min |
| Apr 8, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 32 min |
| Apr 8, 6:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 8, 7:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 28 min |
| Apr 8, 7:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 33 min |
| Apr 8, 10:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Apr 8, 10:51 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 9, 12:21 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 39 min |
| Apr 9, 12:56 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 34 min |
| Apr 9, 12:57 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| Apr 9, 4:15 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | JKL | 12 hr |
| Apr 10, 4:05 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 12, 3:55 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 34 hr |
| Apr 13, 6:50 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 55 min |
| Apr 13, 7:26 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 57 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:08 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 15, 10:25 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 23 hr |
| Apr 18, 3:35 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Apr 21, 4:00 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 27, 3:23 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:04 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 38 hr |
| Apr 29, 7:16 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Apr 29, 2:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 52 min |
| Apr 30, 2:55 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 51 hr |
| May 3, 6:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| May 3, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 23 min |
| May 3, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 3, 7:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 49 min |
| May 3, 7:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 65 min |
| May 6, 4:00 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 49 hr |
| May 6, 4:04 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| May 7, 3:55 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 54 hr |
| May 8, 4:29 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | JKL | 12 hr |
| May 9, 4:12 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 29 hr |
| May 10, 6:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 24 min |
| May 11, 3:25 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| May 17, 3:45 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 4 days |
| May 18, 1:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| May 18, 2:18 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 18, 2:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 24 min |
| May 18, 4:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| May 18, 7:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 30 min |
| May 18, 7:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| May 18, 7:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 31 min |
| May 18, 9:57 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| May 19, 6:14 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| May 19, 8:03 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JKL | 12 hr |
| May 19, 8:24 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JKL | 15 hr |
| May 19, 8:46 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 54 hr |
| May 19, 8:46 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 54 hr |
| May 19, 11:31 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| May 21, 2:14 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 19 hr |
| May 21, 2:14 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 15 hr |
| May 23, 5:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 36 min |
| May 23, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 30 min |
| May 24, 3:58 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| Jun 4, 8:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 63 min |
| Jun 5, 10:42 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 10 hr |
| Jun 10, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 10, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 26 min |
| Jun 10, 7:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 30 min |
| Jun 21, 1:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 45 min |
| Jun 27, 8:28 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 72 hr |
| Jul 6, 7:23 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 52 min |
| Jul 9, 7:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 39 min |
| Jul 10, 1:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 2:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 40 min |
| Jul 10, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 30 min |
| Jul 10, 4:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 28, 1:13 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 12:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 40 hr |
| Jul 30, 4:06 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Aug 1, 2:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Aug 14, 9:45 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 18 hr |
| Sep 2, 3:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 24 hr |
| Sep 12, 5:45 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 12, 7:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 12, 10:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 12, 10:38 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 13, 4:59 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 12 hr |
| Sep 13, 6:58 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 26 hr |
| Sep 13, 10:14 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Sep 14, 1:54 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 5 hr |
| Sep 14, 8:50 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 35 hr |
| Sep 26, 3:35 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 5 hr |
| Oct 16, 4:31 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | JKL | 9 hr |
| Oct 16, 1:57 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 19 hr |
| Oct 23, 10:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 36 min |
| Oct 30, 3:59 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Oct 30, 3:57 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | JKL | 37 hr |
| Nov 1, 3:51 AM EST | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Nov 14, 3:17 AM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 40 hr |
| Nov 18, 3:26 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | JKL | 10 hr |
| Nov 19, 1:45 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 17 hr |
| Nov 29, 3:44 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 42 hr |
| Dec 6, 3:06 AM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Dec 20, 11:15 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 10 hr |
| Dec 23, 1:32 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 50 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:00 PM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 13 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 11 |
| Special Weather Statement | 16 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 2 |
| River Flood Warning | 7 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 8 |
| Flood Watch | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 16 |
| River Flood Advisory | 20 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 5 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 7 |
| Freeze Watch | 4 |
| Frost Advisory | 5 |
| Wind and dust | |
| High Wind Warning | 1 |
| Wind Advisory | 7 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 6 |
| Freezing Fog Advisory | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20192021
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.