Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 628

May 18, 202048 counties in Kentucky; 23 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 18, 2020, 1:46 PM EDT for 48 counties in Kentucky; 23 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2020, 1:46 PM EDT (17:46 UTC)
Expired
May 18, 2020, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 71 counties

Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Madison County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Union County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 230 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
230 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1122 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 2:18 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Bath, Bell, Bourbon, Boyle, Bracken and 48 more7 hr
May 18, 4:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Boyle, Bracken, Breathitt, Campbell and 41 more88 min
May 18, 7:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Bourbon, Breathitt, Carter, Clark and 28 more115 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.