Alert archive / Florida / Seminole County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Seminole County, Florida

411 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Seminole County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
411
Busiest year
200922 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
10over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 71% of hail, wind and damage reports in Seminole County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 21 minutes before, and 67% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200813377%450%7 min
200922673%10%
20109278%425%7 min
201122864%2070%48 min
201213469%1292%24 min
20138450%475%17 min
201413562%838%19 min
201514657%1164%31 min
20166183%1100%14 min
201713654%6100%23 min
201817382%683%6 min
201917571%911%23 min
202016850%3087%12 min
20218275%1191%14 min
202218856%2190%17 min
202318383%540%18 min
202414843%650%14 min
202517288%20%

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 19, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB22 min
Jul 17, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB30 min
Jul 13, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB35 min
Jul 6, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB28 min
Jul 4, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB29 min
Jun 25, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB32 min
Jun 13, 9:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB22 min
May 12, 12:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB34 min
May 12, 12:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB42 min
May 12, 11:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB48 min
May 12, 11:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB34 min
May 12, 11:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLB20 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.