Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1227 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1224 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

 - Showers and storms persist along a cold front through the
   overnight period before exiting Saturday morning. A few storms
   may be strong to severe.

 - Much cooler conditions expected this weekend behind the front.
   Frost development possible for portions of the area Sunday
   morning.

 - Mostly dry conditions expected through mid next week before a
   stronger storm system provides increasing rain and storm
   chances Thursday/Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

Thunderstorms along a cold front will continue to move south and
east through the remainder of E OK and NW AR through the overnight
hours. Some storms may become strong to severe and produce large
hail and damaging wind gusts, though the severe threat will wane
with time. Localized flash flooding may also develop in locations
impacted by prolonged heavy rainfall...mainly in NE OK and NW AR.
Strong post-frontal north winds are occurring behind the storms
tonight, and expect this to continue through the overnight hours
with gusts 30-40 mph. Some gusts greater than 40 mph are possible,
but should remain isolated and brief. Storms exit the area by
Saturday morning, with skies clearing from north to south through
the day. High temperatures will be much cooler than recently
observed within the post-frontal airmass...likely remaining in the
60s. Winds remain breezy through Saturday afternoon, but will
gradually decrease by the evening hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

Effective radiational cooling will provide a cool night Saturday
night, with lows in the mid-upper 30s and lower 40s. The typically
colder spots may experience some frost development, especially in
NW AR. Otherwise, it will be a quiet night weather-wise. High
pressure remains in place through Sunday with mostly clear skies
and temperatures warming into the 70s. Southerly flow returns
Monday ahead of an approaching disturbance which could bring some
low shower/ thunder chances to the area Tuesday/Wednesday.
However, at this time, it appears most locations will remain dry
with this system. Amplified troughing moves through the
intermountain west mid-week and then ejects into the plains
Thursday and Friday. This will bring widespread rain and storm
chances back to the region, with at least some potential for
severe weather. Temperatures warm back to near/above average for
the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

Broken line of thunderstorms will continue to move across
northwest AR and southeast OK over the next few hours with the
passage of a cold front. A period of MVFR ceilings and at least
brief IFR vis will accompany the front/storms with potential
wind gusts in the 30-35 knot range. Overall conditions will
improve with VFR conditions prevailing by sunrise. Gusty north
winds through the afternoon will diminish mid to late afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   64  41  74  48 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   66  40  74  45 /  20   0   0   0
MLC   64  38  74  43 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   64  36  74  43 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   62  35  71  42 /  20   0   0   0
BYV   60  38  69  44 /  20   0   0   0
MKO   63  38  72  44 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   61  38  70  45 /   0   0   0   0
F10   63  38  72  44 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   64  41  72  44 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...43
LONG TERM....43
AVIATION...14

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
421 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-190930-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
421 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Southeast Oklahoma through west central Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms will continue through mid morning across
portions of southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. The
showers and storms will move east of the region by late morning.
Gusty northerly winds will continue today with periodic gusts
of 25 to 35 mph through the day.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Southerly winds increase early next week with warmer temperatures
returning to the region. Thunderstorm chances also return Thursday
into Friday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
430 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

OKZ053-181015-
Choctaw OK-
430 AM CDT Sat Apr 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY THROUGH
515 AM CDT...

At 430 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Bennington, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Boswell...                        Soper...
Kent...                           Unger...
Gay...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3392 9591 3395 9594 3412 9594 3414 9596
      3415 9598 3416 9558 3394 9559 3394 9560
      3393 9560 3391 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 0930Z 267DEG 42KT 3400 9608

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH