Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Tallahassee, FL

June 22, 2026Walton County, Washington County, Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this river flood warning at Jun 22, 2026, 8:40 AM CDT for Walton County, Washington County, Florida. It took effect at Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 22, 2026, 8:40 AM CDT (13:40 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 27, 2026, 8:41 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 3 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Choctawhatchee River near Bruce-Ebro (SR 20) (BRUF1).

Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
14 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02366500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

165 
WGUS42 KTAE 221340
FLWTAE

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
940 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...The National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-230300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FL.W.0002.260624T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1200Z.260625T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
840 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 9.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 14.8 feet
    Thursday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.6 feet on 11/13/2015.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

Godsey
10 follow-up statements
774 
WGUS82 KTAE 230105
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
905 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday afternoon at 215 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-231915-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.260624T0730Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T0730Z.260625T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...From late Tuesday night until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Portions of Big Cedar, Cowford, and 
  Choctawhatchee River Roads in Walton County are impassible above 
  this level. Structures in the area not elevated begin flooding. 
  Portions of Choctaw Road in Washington County begin to flood along 
  with Strickland Road in the far southwestern portion of the county.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of
    15.1 feet Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.1 feet on 02/08/1983.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$
018 
WGUS82 KTAE 231530
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1130 AM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-240300-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.260624T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1030Z.260625T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.
  At 16.0 feet, Portions of Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads in Walton County are impassible above this level. 
  Structures in the area not elevated begin flooding. Portions of 
  Choctaw Road in Washington County begin to flood along with 
  Strickland Road in the far southwestern portion of the county.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Tuesday night and continue rising to a crest of 15.1
    feet early Thursday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.1 feet on 02/08/1983.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

KO
567 
WGUS82 KTAE 240110
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
910 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday afternoon at 215 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-241915-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.260624T1630Z-260629T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1630Z.260625T1800Z.260628T1800Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO EARLY 
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning to early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow morning to a crest of 14.8 feet early Thursday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Sunday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.8 feet on 03/11/1934.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$
277 
WGUS82 KTAE 241309
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
909 AM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-250300-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.260624T1309Z-260629T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1636Z.260625T1800Z.260628T1200Z.NO/
809 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO EARLY MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...From this morning to early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was estimated to be around
    14.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 14.8 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.8 feet on 03/11/1934.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

WD
116 
WGUS82 KTAE 251253
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
853 AM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 830 AM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-261330-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260629T0600Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1800Z.260628T1800Z.NO/
753 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...Until early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM CDT Thursday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.9
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.9 feet on 03/11/1959.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$
918 
WGUS82 KTAE 260124
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
924 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Friday afternoon at 430 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-262130-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260629T0300Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1645Z.260628T1500Z.NO/
824 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...Until late Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Thursday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Sunday morning and continue falling to 12.8 feet Tuesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.9 feet on 02/28/2016.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

IG3
722 
WGUS82 KTAE 261417
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1017 AM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-270400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260628T1800Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1645Z.260628T1200Z.NO/
917 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...Until early Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM CDT Friday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Sunday morning and continue falling to 12.4 feet Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.7 feet on 05/11/1953.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

WD
428 
WGUS82 KTAE 270058
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
858 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday afternoon at 400 PM 
CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-272100-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260629T0000Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1645Z.260628T1200Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...Until Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 PM CDT Friday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Sunday morning and continue falling to 12.3 feet Wednesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.6 feet on 07/29/2013.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

IG
764 
WGUS82 KTAE 271350
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
950 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 900 PM CDT.

&&

FLC131-133-280200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260628T1200Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1645Z.260628T0600Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Big Cedar, Cowford, and Choctawhatchee 
  River Roads begin to flood in Walton County. Flood waters impact 
  storage areas underneath homes on the west banks of the 
  Choctawhatchee River. Low areas along Strickland Road in 
  Washington County become subject to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 AM CDT Saturday was 14.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 12.8 feet
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    14.3 feet on 02/12/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

WD
445 
WGUS82 KTAE 280141
FLSTAE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
941 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Washington and 
  Walton Counties.

FLC131-133-280245-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260628T0141Z/
/BRUF1.1.ER.260624T1437Z.260625T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12.5 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8581 3044 8585 3037 8609 3044 8613
      3047 8596 3070 8592


$$

DR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 22, 5:25 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Issued at 624 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026
  • Seasonable summer thunderstorms will continue through at least mid-week. Be ready to head indoors when storms approach.
  • There is a High Risk of dangerous rip currents at Walton, Bay, and Gulf County beaches today. Heed the advice of beach flags and local officials.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 5:25 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
625 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 624 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

- Seasonable summer thunderstorms will continue through at least
  mid-week. Be ready to head indoors when storms approach.

- There is a High Risk of dangerous rip currents at Walton, Bay,
  and Gulf County beaches today. Heed the advice of beach flags
  and local officials.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 121 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The 500 mb subtropical ridge axis over South Florida and the
Southeast Gulf on Sunday evening will strengthen today while
extending west through the Gulf and expanding north toward Central
Florida. Meanwhile, our 1000-700 mb layer flow will turn from
westerly to southwesterly, tapping into the less moist air that is
evident further offshore in satellite imagery. Overall, the building
heights and less moist mid-level air will reduce convective coverage
a notch today from Sunday. For the Tallahassee area, keep in mind
that southwest steering flow pulls Forgotten Coast seabreeze
thunderstorms toward Tallahassee. So while convective coverage will
be down for the tri-state forecast area as a whole, the southwest
flow will keep Tallahassee most prone to convection, from midday
through the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 121 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Mid-upper level flow will become northwesterly starting late
tonight, thanks to the temporary strengthening of a strong upper
high over the Chihuahuan Desert region near El Paso. The northwest
flow will push a cold front south into our region on Tuesday and
Tuesday night. In advance of the front, the decaying remnants of
an MCS could reach the Alabama Wiregrass during the pre-dawn hours
early Tuesday morning. Otherwise, the front will be an added
focus for renewed afternoon convection on Tuesday, especially
along and south of the U.S. 84 corridor.

Behind the front, a drier air mass will spread southeast,
particularly through Georgia. The drier air will struggle to reach
Florida and Lower Alabama, though the southernmost extent of the dry
air is a point of disagreement among some guidance members.
Within the drier air, convection will get shut down for the day.
Where drier air fails to arrive, scattered afternoon convection is
expected, most confidently along the Panhandle seabreeze.

We will lose the northwest flow aloft on Wed night and Thursday,
becoming more westerly as the Chihuahuan upper high weakens and
deamplifies. Seasonably moist PW values in the 1.6 to 2.0 inch range
will therefore return and overspread the entire forecast area,
supporting scattered afternoon convection areawide on Thursday.

The nice, neat latitudinal orientation of the subtropical ridge will
start to fall apart on Friday. A lobe of mid-level high pressure
will break off across Florida on Friday, then expand across the
Southeast U.S. on Saturday, then amplify over the Eastern U.S. on
Sunday. With 500 mb heights hovering in the 5920-5940 meter range,
large-scale subsidence and only marginally favorable PW values in
the 1.5 to 1.7 inch range, convection will become confined mostly to
the most favorable seabreeze zones in Florida. The loss of flow
aloft means individual convective cells will cover less ground and
become shorter-lived.

Under the influence of mid-upper ridging from Friday through Sunday,
high temperatures will head upward to the mid 90s and beyond over
inland areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

A blend of MVFR and IFR conditions this morning. Vsbys should
improve following sunrise with ceilings gradually lifting through
the morning. VFR conditions can be expected for the afternoon.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop this
afternoon, but the coverage will be less than what we've had over
the past few days. Generally expect light south/southwesterly
winds through the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 121 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Through Wednesday, a subtropical ridge axis will extend across
Central Florida and into the eastern Gulf, supporting gentle to
occasionally moderate westerly breezes along the Northeast Gulf
Coast. On Thursday, high pressure will expand into the Northeast
Gulf, decreasing general background winds and making the nearshore
afternoon seabreeze the dominant wind regime.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 121 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

For today and Tuesday, a seasonably hot, muggy and unstable air mass
will cover the districts. The main fire weather concern will be
gusty and erratic winds near scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Storm coverage will be greater on Tuesday than today.

On Wednesday, drier air will spread across the region, particularly
over our Georgia districts. Humidity will trend lower, and afternoon
thunderstorms will be more confined to the Panhandle seabreeze zone.
The drier air mass will be short-lived, with a seasonably moist air
mass returning regionwide on Thursday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 121 AM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The main concern through this work week will be with short-lived
nuisance runoff issues beneath the core of stronger thunderstorms.

On the river side, runoff from recent heavy rains is routing
downstream through our river systems. The biggest rises have been in
the Pea/Choctawhatchee basin. The latest river forecast still brings
the Choctawhatchee at Bruce into Minor Flood starting Wednesday
afternoon.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   92  76  93  75 /  50   0  40  20
Panama City   89  80  89  78 /  10  10  20  10
Dothan        91  75  90  73 /  40  30  40  20
Albany        91  75  90  73 /  30  30  50  20
Valdosta      92  75  92  74 /  40  10  30  20
Cross City    93  77  94  76 /  10  10  10  20
Apalachicola  89  80  90  79 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Haner
LONG TERM....Haner
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...Haner
FIRE WEATHER...Haner
HYDROLOGY...Haner

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 7:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAELiberty26 min
Jun 21, 7:23 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningTAE97 min
Jun 21, 7:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAETaylor34 min
Jun 21, 7:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAELiberty32 min
Jun 21, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAELafayette, Taylor30 min
Jun 21, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAELafayette30 min
Jun 22, 6:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTAEWalton19 hr
Jun 22, 4:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEJefferson39 min
Jun 22, 5:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTAEJefferson67 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.