High Surf Advisory 3, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
129 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

- Occasional rounds of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are likely
  again today. Some localized flooding could occur with the
  strongest storms along with gusty winds.

- Additional heavy rain is expected on Thursday and Friday with
  the heaviest amounts expected across southeast Alabama,
  southwest Georgia, and the Florida panhandle. A flood watch is
  in effect for Thursday and Friday generally near and west of a
  Panama City to Ashburn line for the potential for flash
  flooding.

- A High Risk of rip currents is forecast to continue through at
  least Saturday for the Walton, Bay, and Gulf county beaches. It
  is strongly discouraged to enter the surf on high risk days.
  Please heed the beach flags and advice of local officials.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 227 AM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Today looks similar to the past couple of days with additional
rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected. A surface trough
remains in the vicinity, and deep tropical moisture continues
streaming northeastward into our area with low pressure in the
northwest Gulf. Precipitable water values will remain near or above
2 inches, supporting heavy rain rates and localized flooding issues
with the heaviest activity. A few stronger storms capable of gusty
winds also remain possible. Highs will generally range from the
lower 80s to near 90 with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 227 AM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

The unsettled pattern is expected to continue through at least
Friday and possibly into Saturday. The remnants of Potential
Tropical Cyclone 1 will pass northwest of the area on Thursday into
Friday. This could bring more heavy rain and severe weather to the
area, particularly the northwest half of our forecast area. When
combined with the rain that has already fallen this week, the flash
flooding potential will increase for the Thursday-Friday time frame.
A flood watch has been issued to account for this, roughly along
and west of a Panama City to Ashburn line where the heaviest rain
is currently expected. Favorable instability and shear may lead
to a threat of a few tornadoes as well, especially on Thursday.

Once low pressure moves off to the east, a surface front will
settle south in its wake to near the Gulf Coast. This could be a
focus for additional scattered afternoon storms this weekend. A
deep tropical airmass is expected to remain in place with
precipitable water values near or above 2 inches, so pockets of
heavy rain can be expected with this activity as well.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Several rounds of showers and storms are expected through the taf
period. Generally VFR to MVFR conditions are expected outside of
convection. Thursday will be breezier as the gradient tightens.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 227 AM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Moderate southwest breezes will prevail through today, becoming
fresh or possibly strong southerlies on Thursday and Friday as low
pressure passes to our north. Once low pressure has exited on
Saturday, a reduction to gentle westerlies is expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 227 AM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

A very moist air mass will be in place through the rest of the
week and into the weekend, supporting widespread shower and
thunderstorm activity, thick cloud cover, and wetting rains.
Pockets of heavy rainfall are expected. Thunderstorms will come
with dangerous lightning and sudden gusty winds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 227 AM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms today will bring
pockets of heavy rainfall to the area. While some localized
ponding of water could occur today, a larger threat of flash
flooding is expected to arrive in the Thursday-Friday time frame
as low pressure passes northwest of our area. The potential exists
for training bands of thunderstorms in a deep tropical airmass to
affect the western and northern portions of the area. Rain rates
would be quite high in this scenario, which would result in flash
flooding. Thus, a flood watch has been issued near and west of a
Panama City to Ashburn line for the Thursday-Friday time frame to
account for this possibility.

Rivers remain on the low side from the ongoing drought conditions,
so significant riverine flooding is currently not expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   77  87  77  88 /  30  70  60  80
Panama City   78  86  79  87 /  50  70  60  70
Dothan        75  82  74  86 /  30  90  90 100
Albany        75  84  73  86 /  10  90  90 100
Valdosta      76  88  76  88 /  10  60  70  90
Cross City    79  92  78  90 /  10  40  20  50
Apalachicola  81  86  81  87 /  30  50  50  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Friday night for
     FLZ007>013-108-112.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ108-112-
     114.

GA...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Friday night for
     GAZ120>128-142>145-155-156.

AL...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Friday night for
     ALZ065>069.

GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...Merrifield
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
141 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

FLZ017-018-GAZ156>159-171830-
Inland Jefferson FL-Leon FL-Brooks GA-Decatur GA-Grady GA-Thomas GA-
141 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN
LEON...SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR...GRADY...THOMAS AND SOUTHWESTERN BROOKS
COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EDT...

At 140 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southwest of Whigham to 8 miles
southwest of Cairo to 12 miles northeast of Tallahassee. Movement was
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cairo, Thomasville, Boston, Ochlocknee, Whigham, Alma, Thomasville
Municipal A/P, Dills, Grooverville, Capel, Dillon, Everett, Rocky
Hill, Miccosukee, Merrillville, Princes Still, Empress, Nickleville,
Lake Miccosukee, and Fincher.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3104 8417 3098 8388 3067 8354 3051 8410
      3074 8433 3077 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 240DEG 29KT 3079 8437 3077 8428 3059 8411

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
122 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

ALZ066-067-171915-
Dale AL-Henry AL-
122 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN DALE AND WESTERN
HENRY COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM CDT...

At 122 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Midland City, or 9 miles east of Ozark, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Headland, Ozark, Midland City, Newton, Pinckard, Kinsey,
Newville, Bells Crossroads, Kirkland Crossroads, Edwin, Mabson,
Arguta, Snells Crossroads, Ewell, Graball, Sylvan Grove,
Skipperville, Echo, and Blackwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3170 8523 3131 8535 3134 8557 3140 8553
      3142 8562 3162 8559 3162 8542 3171 8542
TIME...MOT...LOC 1822Z 195DEG 28KT 3138 8550

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
301 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

ALZ067-GAZ120>122-171945-
Henry AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Clay GA-
301 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HENRY...
NORTHWESTERN CLAY...NORTHWESTERN RANDOLPH AND QUITMAN COUNTIES
THROUGH 345 PM EDT/245 PM CDT/...

At 301 PM EDT/201 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Abbeville, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Abbeville, Fort Gaines, Georgetown, Shorterville, Walter F. George
Lock And Dam, Wire Bridge, Walter F George Lake, Bonapartes Retreat,
Standleys Store, Watson Crossroads, Scottsboro Crossroads, Double
Bridges, Crossroads, Ricks Place, Pecan, Thomas Mill Creek, Hatcher,
Morris, Jones Crossing, and Bethel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8504 3198 8501 3197 8495 3195 8496
      3192 8491 3193 8480 3192 8480 3192 8468
      3152 8509 3163 8532 3170 8527 3170 8522
      3174 8520 3177 8516 3177 8512 3178 8514
      3189 8513 3190 8511 3194 8508 3199 8507
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 214DEG 31KT 3165 8519

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
305 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

GAZ126>131-172000-
Tift GA-Worth GA-Lee GA-Irwin GA-Turner GA-Ben Hill GA-
305 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT IRWIN...TURNER...SOUTHEASTERN
LEE...NORTHWESTERN TIFT...BEN HILL AND NORTHERN WORTH COUNTIES
THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

At 305 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Turner City to near
Mystic. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fitzgerald, Ashburn, Ocilla, Mystic, Worth, Terrell, Sycamore,
Warwick, Rebecca, Osierfield, Amboy, Waterloo, Pinetta, Inaha,
Ashton, Irwinville, Hobby, Turner Co Airport, Irwinville Airport, and
Wray.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3166 8300 3161 8306 3155 8306 3150 8310
      3162 8400 3163 8401 3165 8399 3165 8403
      3162 8405 3163 8411 3185 8393 3180 8378
      3180 8361 3185 8361 3185 8318 3181 8313
      3182 8311 3178 8303 3178 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 247DEG 29KT 3167 8404 3162 8341

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
341 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

GAZ120-122-172015-
Quitman GA-Randolph GA-
341 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN RANDOLPH AND
QUITMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Cuthbert, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Georgetown, Springvale Station, Peterson Hill, Crossroads,
Benevolence, Springvale, and Wades.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8504 3198 8501 3197 8495 3195 8496
      3192 8491 3193 8480 3192 8480 3192 8469
      3193 8468 3192 8468 3176 8485 3188 8513
      3189 8513 3190 8511 3194 8508 3196 8509
      3197 8507 3199 8507
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 221DEG 33KT 3191 8489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
355 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

GAZ129>131-147-148-172100-
Berrien GA-Tift GA-Irwin GA-Cook GA-Ben Hill GA-
355 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL COOK...IRWIN...
NORTHERN BERRIEN...CENTRAL TIFT AND BEN HILL COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
EDT...

At 354 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles west of Jacksonville to near Mystic to
near Lenox. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fitzgerald, Tifton, Ocilla, Enigma, Lenox, Alapaha, Mystic,
Unionville, Phillipsburg, Eldorado, Gladys, Osierfield, Glory,
Harding, Waterloo, Pinetta, Ashton, Irwinville, Wray, and Bowens
Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3166 8300 3166 8301 3164 8301 3161 8306
      3155 8306 3148 8311 3146 8315 3140 8314
      3133 8306 3130 8305 3127 8351 3132 8351
      3133 8353 3156 8355 3185 8324 3185 8318
      3181 8313 3182 8311 3178 8303 3178 8300
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 250DEG 30KT 3181 8311 3157 8339 3133 8339

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE