Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 85

February 15, 20269 counties in Florida; 12 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2026, 11:12 AM EST for 9 counties in Florida; 12 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2026, 11:12 AM EST (16:12 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2026, 12:45 PM EST
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 8
All 21 counties

Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2026-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2026-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 250 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
758 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
250 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 12:17 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa6 hr
Feb 15, 4:04 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa116 min
Feb 15, 7:45 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 7 more2 hr
Feb 15, 8:35 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 11 more8 hr
Feb 15, 12:09 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 11 more96 min
Feb 15, 12:59 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 10 more7 hr
Feb 15, 4:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 11 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.