Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 84

February 15, 20265 counties in Alabama; 13 counties in Florida; 19 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2026, 6:45 AM CST for 5 counties in Alabama; 13 counties in Florida; 19 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2026, 6:45 AM CST (12:45 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2026, 8:45 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 37 counties

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 323 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2026-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2026-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 479 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
658 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
479 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
570 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 10:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Feb 14, 11:17 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Escambia, Mobile, Washington6 hr
Feb 15, 1:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Feb 15, 3:04 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Covington, Escambia, Mobile116 min
Feb 15, 7:35 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCDale, Geneva, Henry, Houston8 hr
Feb 15, 10:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jefferson, Leon, Liberty and 3 more93 min
Feb 15, 11:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 11 more96 min
Feb 15, 11:59 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 10 more7 hr
Feb 15, 3:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 11 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.