Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
652 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1134 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

 - Flood Watch is in effect through for much of the ArkLaTex
   until 7 AM Wednesday morning.

 - Temperatures will climb into the mid 90s by late week into the
   weekend possibly prompting Heat Advisory headlines each day.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1119 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

An upper-level disturbance to translate southeast from the Texas
Panhandle and western Oklahoma into the ArkLaTex early this
evening prompting another round of showers and thunderstorms
within the ongoing Flood Watch area. With soils becoming nearly
saturated across the region from previous periodic rain events
over the past week or two, the flash flood thresholds are becoming
much lower, resulting in flash flooding concerns with lesser
rainfall rates. Thus, the ongoing Flash Flood Watch has been
extended to 7 AM Wednesday morning to account for upcoming
overnight convection.

Conditions are forecast to improve areawide on Wednesday
afternoon, signaling a pattern shift characterized by hotter and
drier conditions as an upper-level ridge builds east across
Texas.

Although there may still remain a chance for diurnally driven
showers and thunderstorms across portions of southwest Arkansas
and southeast Oklahoma on Thursday afternoon, precip chances will
become mostly non-existent through the weekend. Afternoon high
temperatures will climb into the mid 90s areawide with heat index
values exceeding 100 degrees, possibly approaching Heat Advisory
criteria. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

For the 24/00Z TAFs, ongoing thunderstorms in north Texas will
push eastward over the next several hours, impacting KTXK with
gusty winds and torrential rainfall. The remnants of these storms
may swing southward overnight, but impacts to terminals along the
I-20 corridor are still uncertain. Including VCTS for most likely
windows of impact. CIGs may deteriorate to MVFR/IFR levels near
daybreak at sites which do not receive precip overnight or have
sufficient time to recover after storms depart. Winds will be
light and variable overnight outside of the vicinity of stronger
storms, remaining southwesterly tomorrow at maximum sustained
speeds of 5 to 10 kts.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 651 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this evening and overnight for
the potential of heavy rain and flash flooding across the northern
half of our Four State Region. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  93  75  94 /  50  10  10   0
MLU  75  91  75  94 /  50  40  10   0
DEQ  71  88  72  90 /  70  40  30   0
TXK  74  92  75  94 /  60  40  20   0
ELD  72  88  72  93 /  70  40  20   0
TYR  77  94  74  94 /  20   0   0   0
GGG  77  93  74  93 /  50  10   0   0
LFK  76  95  73  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for LAZ001>006-010>014-019-
     021.

OK...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for OKZ077.

TX...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-138.

&&

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...26

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