Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1223 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1033 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

 - Some strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon and
   evening, turning to widespread showers overnight.

 - Continued rainfall over the next several days could raise some
   potential flash and urban flooding concerns.

 - Rain is expected to end by early Saturday, with a quiet and
   cooler than average weekend to follow, then a warm-up into
   early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1033 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

At the time of writing, convection is initiating behind the cold
front stretching from Deep East TX to north central LA. While
forcing is relatively weak, the environment is conducive enough to
produce severe hazards should any storms get started. The greatest
instability is south of the cold front, with SPC mesoanalysis
suggesting 2000+ J/kg of MLCAPE is present in this area. Plenty of
low-level moisture and steep lapse rates across the entire region could
contribute to severe hazards, mainly large hail. Damaging winds
are also a possibility with some tornado threat that is mainly for
our far southern zones, where sfc convection is more likely to
develop. These storms should weaken going into the overnight
hours with the loss of daytime heating and leave nonsevere showers
and thunderstorms behind through Thursday morning. It should be
noted that CAM output over the past several days has overperformed
and that is being taken into account here. However, the
environment warrants some caution, especially if storms continue
to initiate.

By tomorrow morning, the cold front should have pushed
southeastward through the region, bringing afternoon high
temperatures down into the 60s and low 70s. Showers will be quick
to spread back northward late Thursday morning and continue
through Saturday morning. This extended period of rain looks like
it will be nonsevere and bring an additional 1-3 inches of rain to
the Ark-La-Tx. Despite being under drought recently, WPC is
highlighting much of the area as being at risk of flash and urban
flooding, especially on Friday. Temperatures could dip into the
50s and 60s on Friday before the rain ends on Saturday and allows
another warming trend to begin this weekend.

Conditions look to stay dry through the weekend and into the first
part of next week. Temperatures should climb back into the 80s by
Wednesday before a shortwave trough moves through and brings rain
chances back into the forecast.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

cold front continues to make slow but steady progress south and
east through our airspace early this morning with a northerly
component to the wind now at the TYR/GGG/TXK and ELD terminals.
Not seeing the IFR ceilings as of yet like model time/height cross
section suggests but think this will be just a matter of time once
we get some post-frontal precipitation to develop. Otherwise, MVFR
ceilings are widespread in advance of the cold front and those may
creep up to low VFR heights by mid to late morning before ceilings
fall back to MVFR and/or IFR heights in the wake of the boundary.
Likewise, still expecting an uptick in precipitation coverage as
we go through the day with that activity lingering through the
evening and perhaps the overnight hours tonight.

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed again this afternoon
through tonight for the threat of severe thunderstorms across the
region.

/26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  61  68  55 /  80  70  60  70
MLU  79  60  72  55 /  80  80  40  60
DEQ  73  53  68  49 /  30  30  30  50
TXK  74  58  69  53 /  50  50  40  60
ELD  74  55  69  51 /  60  60  30  60
TYR  73  62  67  55 /  70  60  70  70
GGG  74  61  68  54 /  80  70  60  70
LFK  83  65  72  58 /  80  70  60  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...13

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1225 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1137 AM     Hail             16 SSW Fouke            33.07N 94.04W
04/29/2026  M1.25 Inch       Miller             AR   Broadcast Media

            Quarter to hail dollar sized hail in
            Ravanna. Video relayed by broadcast media.

&&

09

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1238 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1143 AM     Hail             4 NW Rodessa            33.02N 94.04W
04/29/2026  E1.25 Inch       Caddo              LA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Half dollar sized hail reported at Three
            States.

&&

09

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1244 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1208 PM     Hail             Winnsboro               32.95N 95.29W
04/29/2026  E1.00 Inch       Wood               TX   Public

            Social media report of approx. quarter sized
            hail in Winnsboro.

&&

AEC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1245 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

TXZ109>112-125-126-138-291830-
Harrison TX-Morris TX-Camp TX-Cass TX-Upshur TX-Marion TX-Titus
TX-
1245 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN
HARRISON...MARION...NORTHEASTERN UPSHUR...MORRIS...SOUTHEASTERN
TITUS...CASS AND EASTERN CAMP COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

At 1245 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from over Naples to 6 miles west of Ore City,
or extending from 17 miles east of Mount Pleasant to 9 miles
northeast of Gilmer, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Atlanta, Daingerfield, Jefferson, Linden, Hughes Springs, Lone
  Star, Queen City, Naples, Ore City, Omaha, Jenkins, Rocky Branch,
  Cedar Springs, Berea, Cason, Lodi, Kildare, Cookville, Woodlawn and
  Fairview.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3283 9506 3299 9492 3330 9482 3327 9465
      3325 9464 3325 9462 3326 9459 3318 9414
      3274 9426 3262 9431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 286DEG 31KT 3318 9467 3291 9475 3279 9482

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

15

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1249 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1143 AM     Hail             8 S Bloomburg           33.02N 94.04W
04/29/2026  E1.25 Inch       Cass               TX   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Half dollar sized hail reported at Three
            States Marker in Texas.

&&

09