Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
530 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

 - Another round of strong to severe storms is expected this
   afternoon and evening across the southern zones of ArkLaTex,
   with the hazards of damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes all
   still present.

 - A wet conclusion to the week is in store, with rainfall
   Thursday and Friday areawide, raising the potential for flash
   flooding.

 - Rain is expected to end by early Saturday, with a quiet and
   cooler than average weekend to follow, then a warm-up into
   early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Further organized convection is not expected across the ArkLaTex
tonight. However, models still suggest scattered showers developing
at intervals overnight, thus have retained PoPs between 06Z and 12Z.
The cold front draped across north Texas is expected to progress
south and east across the region tomorrow, providing the forcing
mechanism for another round of scattered thunderstorms. As with
previous days, given a favorable environment, the potential remains
for storms to become strong to severe. Storm development looks to
amplify south of the I-20 corridor during the early afternoon hours,
with additional rounds of storms pushing in from the northwest into
the evening. Storms will be capable of producing damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Period
of torrential heavy rainfall may also result in localized flash
flooding.

In the wake of tomorrow's storms, an unsettled pattern will remain,
as pseudo-zonal flow holds in place aloft, with sufficient
moisture returns to fuel rainfall chances Thursday, in advance of
the next organized system. A closed low off the Baja peninsula
will open up into a trough as it pushes east across northern
Mexico and over Texas late this week, driving high chances for
rainfall through Friday and overnight into Saturday. This system
may produce between 1 and 3 inches of rainfall across the region,
a signal for potential flash flooding which will be watched as the
week continues. The most recent timing models usher this rainfall
out of the ArkLaTex by daybreak Saturday, midday at the latest.

Prolonged cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures mild
through the end of the week, and the passage of the next frontal
boundary will usher in an unusually cool first weekend of May, with
highs only aiming for the 60s and 70s, and lows dropping into the
50s and even 40s Sunday morning. A warm up to more seasonable highs
in the 80s is expected to begin the new work week, with mostly quiet
weather continuing until a slight chance of thunder returns to our
northeastern zones at the tail end of this extended forecast period.

/26/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

cold front continues to make slow but steady progress south and
east through our airspace early this morning with a northerly
component to the wind now at the TYR/GGG/TXK and ELD terminals.
Not seeing the IFR ceilings as of yet like model time/height cross
section suggests but think this will be just a matter of time once
we get some post-frontal precipitation to develop. Otherwise, MVFR
ceilings are widespread in advance of the cold front and those may
creep up to low VFR heights by mid to late morning before ceilings
fall back to MVFR and/or IFR heights in the wake of the boundary.
Likewise, still expecting an uptick in precipitation coverage as
we go through the day with that activity lingering through the
evening and perhaps the overnight hours tonight.

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Spotter activation will likely be needed again this afternoon
through tonight for the threat of severe thunderstorms across the
region.

/26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  61  68  55 /  80  70  60  70
MLU  79  60  72  55 /  80  80  40  60
DEQ  73  53  68  49 /  30  30  30  50
TXK  74  58  69  53 /  50  50  40  60
ELD  74  55  69  51 /  60  60  30  60
TYR  73  62  67  55 /  70  60  70  70
GGG  74  61  68  54 /  80  70  60  70
LFK  83  65  72  58 /  80  70  60  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...13

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1012 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

TXZ096-097-109-111-112-291600-
Red River TX-Morris TX-Bowie TX-Cass TX-Titus TX-
1012 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN RED RIVER...
SOUTHWESTERN BOWIE...NORTHERN MORRIS...NORTHEASTERN TITUS AND
NORTHWESTERN CASS COUNTIES UNTIL 11 AM CDT...

At 1012 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wilkerson, or 11 miles northeast of Mount Pleasant, moving east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Naples, Maud, Omaha, Us 259 And I 30 Intersection, Dalby Springs,
  Wilkerson, Douglassville, Marietta, Spring Hill and Bryans Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3325 9501 3342 9495 3333 9431 3304 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 284DEG 31KT 3330 9489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

15

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1038 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

ARZ070-TXZ097-112-291630-
Bowie TX-Cass TX-Miller AR-
1038 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BOWIE...
SOUTHWESTERN MILLER AND NORTHEASTERN CASS COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM
CDT...

At 1038 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles south of Maud, or 14 miles northwest of Atlanta, moving east at
30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Atlanta, Queen City, Fouke, Brightstar, Ravanna, Bloomburg,
  Douglassville, Domino, Fort Lynn, Red Hill and Kiblah.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3305 9439 3333 9431 3329 9380 3302 9390
TIME...MOT...LOC 1538Z 276DEG 25KT 3324 9435

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

15

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1107 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

ARZ050-059-OKZ077-291645-
McCurtain OK-Sevier AR-Little River AR-
1107 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LITTLE RIVER...
SOUTHERN SEVIER AND SOUTHEASTERN MCCURTAIN COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM
CDT...

At 1107 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Arkinda, moving east northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Foreman, Lockesburg, Winthrop, Ben Lomond, Arkinda, Oak Grove,
  Central, Bellview, Browntown, Silver Ridge, America, Moon, Bokhoma
  and Tom.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3367 9452 3380 9463 3402 9409 3396 9407
      3393 9407 3390 9405 3388 9405 3388 9404
      3378 9400
TIME...MOT...LOC 1607Z 248DEG 33KT 3376 9446

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

15

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