Severe Thunderstorm Warning 340, NWS Springfield, MO

810 
WWUS53 KSGF 102305
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
605 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

MOC067-102315-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-260710T2330Z/
Douglas MO-
605 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3679 9211 3680 9209 3697 9209 3705 9197
      3705 9196 3680 9186 3679 9205 3678 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 243DEG 24KT 3689 9199 

$$

MOC091-102330-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-260710T2330Z/
Howell MO-
605 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HOWELL COUNTY...

At 605 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Willow Springs,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Willow Springs, Pomona, and Siloam Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3679 9211 3680 9209 3697 9209 3705 9197
      3705 9196 3680 9186 3679 9205 3678 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 243DEG 24KT 3689 9199 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Wise

154 
WWUS53 KSGF 102321
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
621 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

MOC091-102330-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-260710T2330Z/
Howell MO-
621 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HOWELL COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Springfield.

&&

LAT...LON 3679 9211 3680 9209 3697 9209 3705 9197
      3705 9196 3680 9186 3679 9205 3678 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 246DEG 21KT 3692 9190 

$$

Wise

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
346 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight Risk for severe weather across most of the area this
  afternoon through Saturday. Severe storms may occur at anytime
  during this period. Hazards include damaging winds up to
  60-70 mph, hail up to the size of half dollars, and localized
  flash flooding.

- Flood Watch in effect until 7 PM Saturday. Multiple rounds of
  heavy rainfall over areas already saturated brings a Slight to
  Moderate Risk for excessive rainfall and flooding. Additional
  localized rainfall amounts of up to 3-5 inches are possible.

- Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

An analysis of current conditions once again places complex
features across the region. An expansive band of cloud cover is
currently stretching along and just north of the I-44 corridor
along the leading edge of a subtle MCV wave embedded within the
more distinct mid-level trough in eastern Nebraska. Lift
associated with this wave has forced a few light showers along
the wave. A thermal boundary is placed over northern Kansas and
northern Missouri, which has started dropping south this
afternoon. These features will be the focus for storms today
through Saturday.

Slight Risk for severe storms this afternoon through Saturday:

Ahead of the aforementioned leading edge of the MCV wave
(generally southeast of I-44, especially in the eastern Ozarks),
clear skies have allowed temperatures to reach the upper 80s and
lower 90s with dewpoints in the middle to upper 70s. This is
resulting in 3000+ J/kg SBCAPE. Lift along the wave as it moves
into this region may fire some scattered thunderstorms after 4-5
PM this afternoon (15-40% chance). Since shear is weak in this
region, any development would be scattered. On the other hand,
700 mb temps are a bit high (-10 C) which is providing some
capping to the environment. Therefore, development may be
stunted a bit if peak heating does not overlap with peak lift.
That said, any development would be capable of 60-70 mph
microbursts since low- level lapse rates are somewhat steep at
7-8 C/km, thermo profiles are inverted-Vs in short-term forecast
soundings, and microburst composite values in excess of 7.
Additionally, our in-house Ozarks Pulse Severe Thunderstorm
Index is highlighting values of 13-16 (moderate risk) for pulse
severe thunderstorms. This activity would diminish after 8-9 PM
as the sun disappears for the day.

Afterwards, the front in north Kansas and north Missouri will
drop a bit south as the tail-end of the MCV wave/boundary lifts
a bit back north. This will focus for new storm development
along a strengthening LLJ nose later this evening (after 7 PM)
along and north of I-44. Storm coverage will likely be greater
along this front (40-75% chance). With that said, mean flow from
west to east parallel to the boundary will mean storms will be
along a somewhat narrow band and train. So if you see rain,
you'll probably see a decent amount of rain. Severe storms will
also be possible with these storms as the environment continues
to consist of 1000-2000 J/kg of MUCAPE within a bit better
sheared effective shear environment of around 30 kts. Damaging
winds up to 60-70 mph will be the primary hazard, but a weak
tornado or two and hail up to quarters are also possible.

The past few days, we've seen "unforeseen" strong thunderstorms
lines move through during the morning. While model guidance
suggests the greatest severe risk being this afternoon and
evening instability and shear will remain through the entire
night and into tomorrow morning, so any healthy storm will have
the potential to be severe at anytime. Stay up with the
forecast!

So that said, the front continues to drop south Saturday and
will focus more thunderstorm development (potentially severe
with excessive rainfall) during the day just north of the MO/AR
border. The main mid-level wave will also be churning through
eastern Missouri, which may spark some storms in the eastern
Ozarks. However, greatest lift with the wave may be displaced
from the best instability of the day, focusing the best severe
chance in southern Missouri. Since the environment will not
change much, damaging winds up to 60-70 mph continue to be the
main hazard with any stronger storms.

Flood Watch in effect until 7 PM Saturday:

Of additional concern is the flooding threat. A narrow band of
heavy training thunderstorms occurred last night from Maries to
Phelps to Dent, and into Reynolds/Iron Counties. This resulted
in up to 6-12 inches of rain creating some significant flash
flooding. Areas around this band of rainfall are under the gun
again tonight with a reinvigoration of the LLJ overtop the
sagging frontal boundary. As mentioned before, the thunderstorm
development will be in a narrow band, which means this may not
form over the same areas as last night. If it does, significant
flash flooding is possible as the area will already be
saturated. For that reason, this area (including
Maries/Phelps/Dent Counties) has been upgraded to a Moderate (3
of 4) Risk for excessive rainfall and flooding. If the band
does not set up in that area, flash flooding will still be
possible given a training signal with PWATs in excess of 1.8
inches leading to high rain rates. To account for the latest
training signal, the Flood Watch has been expended northwest
into west- central MO, with the time being extended to 7 PM.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Relatively drier with near-normal temperatures next week:

An overturning wave break over the northern CONUS into the
southeast states will bring more seasonable temperatures to the
area to start next week with highs in the middle to upper 80s
(lower 90s toward later in the week) and lows in the upper 60s
to lower 70s. During this period, rain chances are much lower,
but given a bit of northeasterly flow beneath the high will be
present, some backdoor cold front action may spark a pulse-like few
showers and thunderstorms each day during the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Current satellite and radar observations show light showers
along a boundary moving west to east across Missouri. Some of
these showers may impact SGF and JLN (30% chance), but
visibility changes would be minimal in magnitude and timing.

Afterwards, a band of showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop somewhere across central Missouri. There is a 30% chance
that the band develops in the vicinity of SGF and JLN, but there
is higher confidence in drier weather in SGF. Therefore, only
PROB30s are introduced at this time.

Otherwise, winds will generally be south-southwesterly at 10-15
mph with gusts up to 20 mph at times. A boundary will settle
over the area which could bring winds to more calm and variable
between 03-12Z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...Flood Watch through Saturday evening for MOZ055>058-067>071-
     080>083-092-097-098-106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Price
LONG TERM...Price
AVIATION...Price

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
346 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-112100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
346 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive heat risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening with the primary hazard being damaging
winds up to 60 to 70 mph. Hail up to the size of half dollars,
and weak tornadoes are secondary hazards.

There is a Slight (2 of 4) to Moderate (3 of 4) Risk for
excessive rainfall and localized flash flooding is also in place
for tonight. A Flood Watch was expanded to include the Truman Lake
and Lake of the Ozarks regions and remains in effect for the
eastern Ozarks through Saturday evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening with the primary hazard being damaging
winds up to 60 to 70 mph. Hail up to the size of quarters are
secondary hazards. Flash flooding continues to be possible through
Sunday with multiple rounds of precipitation expected over the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed today and tonight for southwest
Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Price

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
407 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1002 PM     Tornado          1 ENE Rolla             37.96N 91.75W
07/09/2026                   Phelps             MO   NWS Storm Survey

            An EF0 tornado with peak winds of 80 to 85
            mph began along Homelife Plaza in Rolla and
            travelled south before lifting near Soest
            Road. Tree and building debris was laying in
            convergent patterns. Additional limbs were
            downed south of Soest Road, however it could
            not be determined as tornadic from that
            point on due to the lack of convergent
            damage. The tornado was on the ground for a
            total of 0.7 miles with a width of 200 yards
            and caused damage to trees and the roofs of
            several businesses.

&&

TEO