Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1253 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few storms may remain during the rest of the overnight hours
  as they move northeast out of southeast KS.

- Severe thunderstorm redevelopment likely Monday afternoon and
  evening for locations east of Highway 65, with a greater
  Enhanced (3 of 5) Risk east of Highway 63. Large hail to the
  size of baseballs, damaging winds to 70 mph, and tornadoes
  are all possible.

- Slight (2 of 5) Risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday
  afternoon in far south-central Missouri. Large hail is the
  main hazard with a secondary damaging wind risk.

- Localized flooding may occur with any training storms this
  weekend into Tuesday. A corridor of slightly higher flooding
  potential could develop along and north of Highway 54 tonight
  into Monday.

- Mostly dry with cooler than average temperatures Wednesday
  and onward.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

An upper low has lifted northeast out of Saskatchewan into
northern Manitoba. Mid-level shortwave energy was pushing into
the central plains and has initiated additional severe storms
over Kansas. Storm motions were lifting northeast and the
eastern sections of the convection over Kansas may affect our
far western CWA during the remainder of the overnight hours. At
the surface, a warm front was bisecting the CWA with
temperatures still in the upper 60s to low 70s and dewpoints in
the low to mid 60s.

Strong to severe storms likely today: Mid level shortwave will
begin to track northeast and across Missouri today. Surface low
and a cold front slightly ahead of the mid level shortwave will
also track across the area today and will interact with
increasing instability throughout the day. Storms are likely to
reinitiate after midday as the instability increases ahead of
the boundary. The environment ahead of the front looks favorable
for supercells to develop with all modes of severe storms
possible including very large hail and tornadoes. The most
favorable area over our CWA for severe storms looks to be along
and east of the U.S. 65 corridor where an enhanced risk(3 of 5)
exits. Most of the severe storms should clear the area by the
mid to late evening. Localized flooding will be possible for any
storms that can move across the same locations.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Tuesday: Behind the mid level shortwave, we remain in
southwesterly flow which will keep the front from making it too
far to the south, possibly stalling over northern AR or southern
MO. Additional convection will be possible Tuesday afternoon and
evening across southern sections of Missouri. A large hail and
damaging wind risk would be the main risks with any severe
storms on Tuesday.

A drier air mass will then move into the area on Wednesday
as the cold front shifts south of the area. This should keep the
remainder of the long term mostly dry with the main qpf
associated with a late week system remaining to our south.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

For the 18z TAFs, gusty south-southwest winds will persist this
afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front, with gusts
generally around 25 to 30 kts. Scattered thunderstorms are
expected to develop along and ahead of the front later this
afternoon into the early evening. While VFR weather conditions
will generally prevail, any storms moving directly over the
terminals will bring the potential for brief MVFR/IFR reductions
in ceilings and visibility. In the wake of the front this
evening, convection will push east, VFR weather conditions
return and winds will veer sharply to the north, eventually
becoming northeasterly by sunrise Tuesday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Parker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
415 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
415 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Enhanced tornado risk.
  Enhanced hail risk.
  Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to develop again this
afternoon. There is the potential for significant severe weather
hazards along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor this afternoon and
evening. Hail to the size of baseballs, damaging winds in excess
of 70 mph and tornadoes will all be possible. Some large tornadoes
will also be possible. If storms can train across the same
locations, then a localized flood risk will exist.

Wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph will also be possible outside of any
storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A lingering slight (2 of 5) Risk for severe storms exists across
portions of south-central Missouri Tuesday afternoon and evening.
The main hazard with these storms is large hail.

Any slow-moving or training storms could result in a localized
flooding risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and tonight for
areas along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
953 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

MOZ055-056-271530-
Benton MO-Morgan MO-
953 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND MORGAN
COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 AM CDT...

At 953 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cole Camp, or 14 miles west of Versailles, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Versailles, Cole Camp, Stover, Barnett, Syracuse, Edmonson, Florence,
and Crockerville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9284 3843 9263 3835 9264
      3829 9331 3853 9319 3853 9307 3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 1453Z 242DEG 37KT 3846 9311

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Melto